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Post by racingteatray on Dec 15, 2020 11:38:17 GMT
I see the medical community is pressuring the government to rethink the five day break from Tier restrictions over Christmas.
Do you think the government will stick to its guns or are we all in for a nasty last-minute surprise?
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Post by LandieMark on Dec 15, 2020 11:43:33 GMT
I don't think they will backtrack. Even if they do, people have had enough and will do as they please in any case.
Any changes won't affect my Christmas plans, legal or not.
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Post by Deleted on Dec 15, 2020 11:56:58 GMT
I think they know they are on a losing wicket there. What are they going to do? Lock everyone up?
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Post by racingteatray on Dec 15, 2020 12:02:08 GMT
I don't think they will backtrack. Hope so. We already cancelled our usual end of year drive down to Italy. We'd done all the planning and preparation (car documents obtained, 48hr tests booked etc), and were supposed to stop with my father in Milan and then go on to my in-laws in Fano, but between Covid, Brexit concerns (really didn't want to form part of the logistical experiment at Calais in early January) and various other personal considerations, I just decided it was a bad idea. So instead we are supposed to be spending Christmas with my sister and her family in the New Forest, along with my mother. It would be no fun at all to sit in London on our own, or for my mother to sit on her own in Suffolk.
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Post by Alex on Dec 15, 2020 12:16:47 GMT
I think the 5 day period of allowing a 3 house bubble was bought in on the basis that mass rule breaking would happen otherwise and the police don't have the resources to stop it. Any they did deal with would likely be reported to the press with headlines about how they were playing the role of the Grinch.
I think a lot of people will break even the loosened rule and will 'bubble' with 2 other households on Christmas day, another two households on boxing day etc. Which is not the point but how do you prove who is in soneones bubble from one day to the next.
Were doing the sensible thing and keeping to ourselves. The kids are at school until friday and my wifes a teacher so it's not worth the risk.
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Post by Martin on Dec 15, 2020 12:20:55 GMT
I don't think they will backtrack. Even if they do, people have had enough and will do as they please in any case. Any changes won't affect my Christmas plans, legal or not. That's why they won't backtrack, it won't stop people and plenty will think that if they're breaking the rules anyway, why not have an even bigger gathering or mix with more households. The three of us will be at home on Christmas Day, which is what we would have wanted anyway and we have one 'household bubble' coming over on Boxing Day and we're visiting my parents on Sunday.
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Post by Deleted on Dec 15, 2020 12:28:32 GMT
Another piece of pointless pap from a US rep on the beeb news, he suggested that people limit social gathering to the minimum possible. So the minimum possible for the family is 150 then. Do these folk not realise that some people will decide just that as the minimum possible to do what they want. Yes we have talked about that a LOT.
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Post by michael on Dec 15, 2020 13:00:38 GMT
Backtracking would be utterly pointless for reasons outlined above. People aren't following the rules now, many never have, so they're hardly likely to start at Christmas. The HSJ and BMJ are massively political publications as highlighted by the wording of their statement, so any opportunity to score points is rarely missed. I utterly hate the idea that we as a nation have to protect the NHS when the reverse should be true.
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Post by Deleted on Dec 15, 2020 13:14:01 GMT
If the nhs is overwhelmed, so will we be and it would be a lottery who was treated with triage being order of the day with all that brings. Nasty.
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Post by chipbutty on Dec 15, 2020 13:19:14 GMT
Amen to that brother.
I think they will bottle it and change the rules precisely because they know a significant majority will ignore it. That way, they deflect all criticism when the " random number generator " (sorry - I meant PCR test) picks up the 27th wave and they can blame the thickies for not locking themselves away.
Just look what Marky Mark has said in Wales after the " infection rate " spiked after the firebreak lock down to double what it was before the lockdown - he's just blamed the population for having house parties.
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Post by Big Blue on Dec 15, 2020 13:25:23 GMT
Several Chief Constables have said they would not instruct officers to enter homes on Christmas Day and break up family lunches - long before the 5-day announcement.
Given that families will meet at Christmas the best the government can do is remind everyone to be sensible and that it’s the younger ones that will kill grandparents silently. Or not so silently if it’s Stewie from Family Guy.
I’m sure there are more than a few disillusioned sons and daughters in-law that are rubbing their faces up against public toilet doors and licking food wrappers in public waste bins prior to a visit to their partners’ parents.
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Post by racingteatray on Dec 15, 2020 14:17:45 GMT
We're working on the basis that my sister's kids (6 and 4) should be the highest risk of being contaminated but they are both now out of school already (since the end of last week) and my sister and her husband are working from home down in their hamlet (it's barely three houses) in the New Forest, so by the time we all bubble, they should be as safe as they can be. Then my mother who self-isolates at the best of times, will drive herself down, as will we, who are both working from home and going nowhere we don't have to. Also all planning to take one of those rapid-result antigen tests in advance.
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Post by Bob Sacamano v2.0 on Dec 15, 2020 14:27:04 GMT
I don't think they will backtrack. Even if they do, people have had enough and will do as they please in any case. Any changes won't affect my Christmas plans, legal or not. This. Whatever is dictated we won’t be changing our plans one iota.
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Post by michael on Dec 15, 2020 14:49:12 GMT
If the nhs is overwhelmed, so will we be and it would be a lottery who was treated with triage being order of the day with all that brings. Nasty. The NHS will only be overwhelmed because it's model of care is so inefficient and itself a risk to population health.
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Post by Martin on Dec 15, 2020 15:04:08 GMT
I don't think they will backtrack. Even if they do, people have had enough and will do as they please in any case. Any changes won't affect my Christmas plans, legal or not. This. Whatever is dictated we won’t be changing our plans one iota. We're the same, we've got our (sensible) plans and I'm not changing them.
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Post by PetrolEd on Dec 15, 2020 15:10:35 GMT
I see the government backing down only if they get support from all other devolved nations and labour. If they don't get that support it'll be a political disaster no matter what they do. Keep it as it is and we have a spike in January it'll be the governments fault for not looking after us. Cancel christmas and the media will have a field day. Rather glad I'm not making the decision. However, I'm surprised they deviated from the tiering for Christmas. It was always going to be a disaster making the decision so early without having a handle on the number of infections.
I've got a goose and turkey for Christmas day, if its only the 3 of us I'm going to need a seriously elasticated waistband on my trousers.
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Post by PG on Dec 15, 2020 15:35:00 GMT
As of this morning I'd have said they won't fold. Now, with all the press screaming for a reversal as well as Labour, the BMJ, SAGE and all the usual suspects, I reckon if the devolved administrations cave the UK government will for England too.
Like michael I'm fed up of being told to protect the NHS. It's had 9 monthws to get its shit together. It's about time it did what it was supposed to do and became a health service.
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Post by racingteatray on Dec 15, 2020 16:02:22 GMT
As of this morning I'd have said they won't fold. Now, with all the press screaming for a reversal as well as Labour, the BMJ, SAGE and all the usual suspects, I reckon if the devolved administrations cave the UK government will for England too. That's what worries me too.
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Post by racingteatray on Dec 15, 2020 16:03:10 GMT
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Post by michael on Dec 15, 2020 16:07:09 GMT
Save the NHS or mass disorder then it'll be save the police. It's such a shame we can't just outline the risks and tell people to take sensible precautions.
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Post by Deleted on Dec 15, 2020 16:20:28 GMT
I'm going to see what there is tbh, I might get a Turkey crown but I might not. Perhaps a nice piece of Beef but seeing as it will be me on my toddy I will get something decent whatever it is and it will be MY choice. Not a single sprout to be seen despite my knowing how to cook them I find them to be poison.
Now distant memories of my mother telling me "...but you LOVE sprouts"!
Parboiled but still firm, dry and add to a hot salted pan with some ginger and sugar for a few minutes. Garlic (Smoked by preference) the oil first if you like that sort of thing. Slight sprinkle of lemon juice in a bowl with pepper and serve.
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Post by racingteatray on Dec 15, 2020 16:40:26 GMT
Let's shift this to the private section if possible please!
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Post by Bob Sacamano v2.0 on Dec 15, 2020 16:56:31 GMT
I'm going to see what there is tbh, I might get a Turkey crown but I might not. Perhaps a nice piece of Beef but seeing as it will be me on my toddy I will get something decent whatever it is and it will be MY choice. Not a single sprout to be seen despite my knowing how to cook them I find them to be poison. Now distant memories of my mother telling me "...but you LOVE sprouts"! Parboiled but still firm, dry and add to a hot salted pan with some ginger and sugar for a few minutes. Garlic (Smoked by preference) the oil first if you like that sort of thing. Slight sprinkle of lemon juice in a bowl with pepper and serve. Thanks for reminding me, Mike, I need to start cooking my Xmas sprouts tomorrow.
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Post by Eff One on Dec 15, 2020 17:14:16 GMT
Suspect they'll hold firm but they're damned either way. Short of mobilising the army, a Christmas lockdown would be unenforceable.
Our plans won't change. We haven't spent time indoors with either set of parents since the summer - my mother and father-in-law are both very high risk - and will stay away until they are vaccinated aside from a brief outdoor (distanced) visit at some point over the holidays.
There will be four of us for Christmas - three Effs plus my brother in law, who lives alone and is in our bubble. We've been in self-imposed lockdown since August and that's not changing anytime soon.
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Post by Alex on Dec 15, 2020 17:30:52 GMT
This. Whatever is dictated we won’t be changing our plans one iota. We're the same, we've got our (sensible) plans and I'm not changing them. As long as you're being very careful when you go to your parents having had your first bubble to visit the day before then you might be ok but I wouldn't be doing what you are regardless of how much your parents will surely love to see their latest grandchild. I'm assuming the boxing day bubble involves your sons who will have been at school less than 10days before, in which case maybe you should rethink. I'm not trying to criticise but knowing how much the virus seems to be spreading in schools, I can't say you're right. But I'm no scientist so I'm probably not right either. But then perhaps that's the problem. No one knows who's right or wrong. My wife works as a teacher so has contact with all school years so maybe we're right not to visit anyone as shes at much higher risk of spreading the virus.
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Post by PG on Dec 15, 2020 17:31:16 GMT
Suspect they'll hold firm but they're damned either way. Short of mobilising the army, a Christmas lockdown would be unenforceable. +1 on both counts. 1. No lockdown, press, TV, opposition etc shout for a lockdown. 2. Lockdown imposed, everyone shouts "what is our route out of lockdown". 3. Lockdown lifted, cases rise, see 1. And repeat. Ad bloody nauseam.
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Post by Martin on Dec 15, 2020 17:39:28 GMT
We're the same, we've got our (sensible) plans and I'm not changing them. As long as you're being very careful when you go to your parents having had your first bubble to visit the day before then you might be ok but I wouldn't be doing what you are regardless of how much your parents will surely love to see their latest grandchild. I'm assuming the boxing day bubble involves your sons who will have been at school less than 10days before, in which case maybe you should rethink. I'm not trying to criticise but knowing how much the virus seems to be spreading in schools, I can't say you're right. But I'm no scientist so I'm probably not right either. But then perhaps that's the problem. No one knows who's right or wrong. My wife works as a teacher so has contact with all school years so maybe we're right not to visit anyone as shes at much higher risk of spreading the virus. No, both visits excludes my sons, we won't be seeing them until the NY weekend this year unfortunately. If we did have them, the plans would probably be different. My parents are getting all rebellious over Christmas and we've had to refuse to be part of a wider get together on the Sunday
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Post by chipbutty on Dec 15, 2020 17:59:35 GMT
I have zero sympathy for Government, on the one hand they put themselves forward for the role and getting the needle from the press comes with the job (as it should).
On the other, if you have a chaotic and dithering yet reactionary administration, the media will likely mirror your behaviour.
There is a sensible and pragmatic route forward, but they seem determined not to take it, instead continuing the chaotic, reactionary, “ say one thing and then do the other tomorrow “ nonsense that breeds mistrust. Hancock has just enhanced his shitweasel credentials another couple of percent by using the virus mutation as his big crutch for dropping London back into tier 3 – even the demons of doom had to reign him in back from that one.
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Post by racingteatray on Dec 15, 2020 18:26:30 GMT
Yes, particularly since London is 10+ million people across a large area with significant variation. Where we live on the border of Fulham and Chelsea appears at the moment to have London's lowest rate of infection (around a third of the worst affected parts, which are over on the other side of the City near Essex). Of course that can change, but a blanket approach to such a large city seems heavy-handed and unjust.
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Post by michael on Dec 15, 2020 18:32:19 GMT
Yes, particularly since London is 10+ million people across a large area with significant variation. Where we live on the border of Fulham and Chelsea appears at the moment to have London's lowest rate of infection (around a third of the worst affected parts, which are over on the other side of the City near Essex). Of course that can change, but a blanket approach to such a large city seems heavy-handed and unjust. It's the same nationwide. My inlaws in Kent are in Tier 3 due to sharing an administrative district with Medway.
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