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Post by racingteatray on Nov 6, 2024 11:20:26 GMT
So the current (funda)mentalist GOP has managed to get the Golden Calf to seduce Americans into giving them the White House and crucially both houses of congress. Buckle up for what might be rather a bumpy ride.
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MAGA...
Nov 6, 2024 11:45:00 GMT
via mobile
Post by Big Blue on Nov 6, 2024 11:45:00 GMT
When you put forward a candidate that your own party didn’t even vote for then claim the other side are the undemocratic ones you’re never going to win the swing states. Americans are very blinkered in their political view and calling out democracy being at risk when you’ve fallen at the first hurdle of democracy is a clear message for four years time when there will be two spanking new candidates that MUST be unconditionally backed by their respective parties.
I’ve been laughing my arse off all morning to be fair. Can’t wait for Trump’s first G8…..
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MAGA...
Nov 6, 2024 11:47:42 GMT
via mobile
Post by Roadrunner on Nov 6, 2024 11:47:42 GMT
Perhaps the only good news to come out of this is that the UK will now absolutely need closer ties with a stronger EU. Hopefully, even Starmer can see that.
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Post by PetrolEd on Nov 6, 2024 11:48:08 GMT
TBF, ignoring the madness in the last year of his rule, the last time he was in charge he did a good job with foreign policy and there are some real issues out there that he can hopefully have some input into for the good.
The last lot really did nothing to strengthen the US and keep the world in line.
So I shall look at the potential positives rather then the list of possible negatives.
Probably not an ideal time to have a Labour government I guess and with the US comes first initiative, I'm not sure where that will leave our trading agreement but I'm sure we can send out Farage to show some love and call in those favours.
Of course the China issue might come to head and a squabble between those 2 can't be good and we'll have to back the US plays.
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Post by PG on Nov 6, 2024 13:53:07 GMT
Ed +1.
His foreign policy was better for the world last time - e.g the Abraham Accords between Israel and a few Arab states. Biden pretty much continued his stance on China so that will continue with added vigor. And although Europeans may smart at it, any government that stands on a policy of putting its own country first is going to capture a lot of votes.
Ukraine is going to be interesting. Recently there seems to have been some softening of the Ukranian stance that they won't ever give in until they get 100% of Ukraine back. As that seems, frankly, an impossibility now. And Ukranians themselves are getting tired of the war if you believe what you read. So maybe a peace deal is a realistic possibility, but that will no doubt hang on what guarantees both Russia and NATO will stand for.
Labour are an embarrassment. Student politics does not transfer well to foreign affairs. As David Lammy is now finding.
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Post by johnc on Nov 6, 2024 14:50:56 GMT
I think the best the UK can hope for is that the division/tariffs/trade war between the US and the EU doesn't get too fruity otherwise we will be sitting on the outside unable to get in anywhere, looking and feeling like a non entity.
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Post by Bob Sacamano v2.0 on Nov 6, 2024 14:57:04 GMT
So the current (funda)mentalist GOP has managed to get the Golden Calf to seduce Americans into giving them the White House and crucially both houses of congress. Buckle up for what might be rather a bumpy ride. When you demonise half the population as racists, xenophobes, and stupid. When you look down in them and consider yourself superior, you usually end up getting a kicking in the polls - as we found to our cost in 2019 when we ended up with Boris and his chums after demonising the Brexit voting population. I'm surprised the Democrats didn't look across the Pond and consider that fact. We should worry because if Labour continue to fuck up and Trump starts delivering some tangible results for his supporters, Farage is going to be further emboldened and push Reform the same way. Huge swathes of the electorate will turn away from Labour, refuse to go back to the Tories, and put their tick in the Reform box. Don't think it couldn't happen - remember when we laughed when he used to stand up in the EU Parliament and tell them the UK would leave the EU? What odds the next UK PM will be Nigel Farage? Trump's a Cunt, it's depressing, the World's fucked.
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Post by racingteatray on Nov 6, 2024 16:24:07 GMT
So the current (funda)mentalist GOP has managed to get the Golden Calf to seduce Americans into giving them the White House and crucially both houses of congress. Buckle up for what might be rather a bumpy ride. When you demonise half the population as racists, xenophobes, and stupid. When you look down in them and consider yourself superior, you usually end up getting a kicking in the polls - as we found to our cost in 2019 when we ended up with Boris and his chums after demonising the Brexit voting population. I'm surprised the Democrats didn't look across the Pond and consider that fact. We should worry because if Labour continue to fuck up and Trump starts delivering some tangible results for his supporters, Farage is going to be further emboldened and push Reform the same way. Huge swathes of the electorate will turn away from Labour, refuse to go back to the Tories, and put their tick in the Reform box. Don't think it couldn't happen - remember when we laughed when he used to stand up in the EU Parliament and tell them the UK would leave the EU? What odds the next UK PM will be Nigel Farage? Trump's a Cunt, it's depressing, the World's fucked. I think there is a widely held view in diplomatic, political and business circles that the Democrats are the architects of this particular mess. It doesn't make it any less of a mess though.
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Post by johnc on Nov 6, 2024 17:39:12 GMT
As has been said above, I hope that we don't follow USA and end up with Farage as PM next time. Perhaps Labour should take notice but I doubt it!
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Post by racingteatray on Nov 6, 2024 18:01:30 GMT
As has been said above, I hope that we don't follow USA and end up with Farage as PM next time. Perhaps Labour should take notice but I doubt it! Surely not. What do we do if the Orange Fascist wants to do another ego trip State Visit? I cannot see Charles or William being keen.
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Post by rodge on Nov 6, 2024 19:01:17 GMT
I’m interested to see how it plays out. The Dems have been shocking over the past year especially, Kamala has had no policies of her own and did nothing as VP, other than alienate a lot of America. Trump isn’t a perfect candidate by a long run, but the big issue for the Dems is that they chose to put possibly the 2 most despised women on the ballot in the last 3 elections and a lot of America got sick of it. So many people over there were saying a woman will never get into office which is a load of BS. The real issue is the women they’ve pushed have been poor candidates when there are so many Democratic women who would be brilliant in the role.
The other thing is people don’t just vote for the president, but the team the president is bringing in, and Trump wasn’t afraid to put people on his team from either side of the political divide.
I can’t imagine what the democrats discussions are like tonight. The whole party has been royally shafted, and they did it to themselves.
Talking to my daughter about the election and we started discussing the West Wing and I put the first episode on. The change in politics over the last 26 years (crazy it’s been that long since it debuted) from the Democrats is massive.
Hoping they build back better and realise this was the biggest election disaster they could have had.
I never aligned with either party when I lived there, but do like the fact that Trump is ruffling feathers and has kept Kamala out of office.
She is not a likeable woman at all.
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Post by PetrolEd on Nov 6, 2024 21:17:08 GMT
As has been said above, I hope that we don't follow USA and end up with Farage as PM next time. Perhaps Labour should take notice but I doubt it! Surely not. What do we do if the Orange Fascist wants to do another ego trip State Visit? I cannot see Charles or William being keen. He will and we embrace it. Bloody bad for business to do anything else. It’s only Donald trump not pol pot.
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Post by Bob Sacamano v2.0 on Nov 6, 2024 22:11:12 GMT
I’m interested to see how it plays out. The Dems have been shocking over the past year especially, Kamala has had no policies of her own and did nothing as VP, other than alienate a lot of America. Trump isn’t a perfect candidate by a long run, but the big issue for the Dems is that they chose to put possibly the 2 most despised women on the ballot in the last 3 elections and a lot of America got sick of it. So many people over there were saying a woman will never get into office which is a load of BS. The real issue is the women they’ve pushed have been poor candidates when there are so many Democratic women who would be brilliant in the role. The other thing is people don’t just vote for the president, but the team the president is bringing in, and Trump wasn’t afraid to put people on his team from either side of the political divide. I can’t imagine what the democrats discussions are like tonight. The whole party has been royally shafted, and they did it to themselves. Talking to my daughter about the election and we started discussing the West Wing and I put the first episode on. The change in politics over the last 26 years (crazy it’s been that long since it debuted) from the Democrats is massive. Hoping they build back better and realise this was the biggest election disaster they could have had. I never aligned with either party when I lived there, but do like the fact that Trump is ruffling feathers and has kept Kamala out of office. She is not a likeable woman at all. Any woman the Democrats put up would be demonised by the right wing misogynists and their press attack dogs.
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MAGA...
Nov 6, 2024 22:43:45 GMT
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Post by racingteatray on Nov 6, 2024 22:43:45 GMT
Absolutely.
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Post by Tim on Nov 7, 2024 8:43:55 GMT
i agree that the Dems ran a fairly poor campaign. Harris wasn't a great candidate but at least they had some genuine policies rather than Trump's bold statements with no substance or plan to back them up. However, forget what the Dems did. The US public have voted in a guy who said, clearly and multiple times, that he WANTS to be a dictator from day one. He'll plan mass deportations of illegal immigrants (presumably including his wife and Elon Musk, both of who appear to have come into the country/stayed in suspect circumstances), is planning to appoint a rabid anti-vaxxer as his health minister, will pardon the convicted insurrectionists from 4 years ago and on top of all those things look at the people around him. Among them are a lot of VERY wealthy Evangelical Christians who appear to want to turn the clock back to the 1800s, at least in terms of things like womens rights. No doubt they'll gladly accept some more tax breaks for themselves though. I'm absolutely certain that a lot of the things Trump said he was going to do while campaigning are hot air but even some of his plans would change the US significantly and don't forget there was this Project 2025 thing that isn't Trump's work but he appears likely at this stage to give positions to its authors. At the extreme end of what he said on the campaign trail there won't be a Dem candidate in 4 years time unless they're a token one as you have in places like Russia. Oh, and putting tariffs on ALL imported goods. The impression I get from that and the reaction of some commentators is that they all think that will be a one-way thing and good for the US people and economy. I just don't see the EU or China quietly sucking it up somehow. Whatever happens there's bound to be fallout across here
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Post by Big Blue on Nov 7, 2024 9:20:01 GMT
The US public have voted in a guy who said, clearly and multiple times, that he WANTS to be a dictator from day one. He'll plan mass deportations of illegal immigrants (presumably including his wife and Elon Musk, both of who appear to have come into the country/stayed in suspect circumstances), is planning to appoint a rabid anti-vaxxer as his health minister, will pardon the convicted insurrectionists from 4 years ago and on top of all those things look at the people around him. Among them are a lot of VERY wealthy Evangelical Christians who appear to want to turn the clock back to the 1800s, at least in terms of things like womens rights. No doubt they'll gladly accept some more tax breaks for themselves though. At the extreme end of what he said on the campaign trail there won't be a Dem candidate in 4 years time unless they're a token one as you have in places like Russia. At the risk of sounding like an apologist, we are apparently in the midst of “Islamophobia Awareness Month” and the items highlighted fit their MO as well when in power, with the substitution of “deportations” for “deaths” and no chance of even a token opposition. Why is it wrong when a western man says and promotes things that align with his agenda but we need to be apologists towards those that promote things that align with a similar agenda but under a different umbrella?
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Post by Tim on Nov 7, 2024 9:33:17 GMT
I'm not apologising for them, I think their view/actions are terrible.
When the US pulled out of Afghan and that place collapsed into Taliban rule I wondered about the thoughts of all the Afghan army who just evaporated despite having been trained and supplied with loads of kit. They could've resisted the Taliban but didn't. Seems like they don't give a shit about their wives/mothers/daughters either so fuck them.
But they aren't what we're talking about here.
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MAGA...
Nov 7, 2024 12:25:00 GMT
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Post by Big Blue on Nov 7, 2024 12:25:00 GMT
I wasn’t referring to any individual, and definitely no one on here, but rather to the western media and mainstream political parties. Why are we simultaneously having one thing rammed down our throats whilst being told the other is unacceptable?
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MAGA...
Nov 7, 2024 12:40:13 GMT
via mobile
Post by ChrisM on Nov 7, 2024 12:40:13 GMT
What odds on Elon Musk being the next President, or the one after next?
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Post by PetrolEd on Nov 7, 2024 12:43:33 GMT
What odds on Elon Musk being the next President, or the one after next? No can do under the current rules unfortunately, that would be fun though wouldn't it.
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MAGA...
Nov 7, 2024 13:05:17 GMT
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Post by Big Blue on Nov 7, 2024 13:05:17 GMT
Yeah. Boris Johnson is eligible……
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Post by PG on Nov 7, 2024 16:05:43 GMT
I wasn’t referring to any individual, and definitely no one on here, but rather to the western media and mainstream political parties. Why are we simultaneously having one thing rammed down our throats whilst being told the other is unacceptable? And there, in a nutshell is why Trump won. Enough people are fed up with being lectured at, demonised generally made to feel that their views are in some way abhorrent that they will vote for somebody who stands with them. And that is something the Democrats simply fail to understand. However much Trump might be for or against women's rights, Harris can hardly claim the high ground while saying that men can go into women's changing rooms and play in female sport.
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MAGA...
Nov 7, 2024 21:48:41 GMT
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Post by Alex on Nov 7, 2024 21:48:41 GMT
I agree with PG on that point about the electorate being fed up with being lectured at. Trump is very good at talking to the man in the street and making him feel he's on his side (similar to Farage being the politician you'd like to go for a pint with).
Harris on the other hand had the likes of Oprah and Taylor Swift telling Trump voters to stay away from the evil fascist and come join them on the right side of history. They should have learnt from the way Brexit happened in that people were told they were stupid if they voted for it so they in turn told the remainers to kindly f**k off.
Be interesting to see how the new Labour government copes with him given the rather outspoken views expressed towards Trump by our Foreign Secretary.
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Post by Tim on Nov 8, 2024 9:13:23 GMT
I agree with PG on that point about the electorate being fed up with being lectured at. Trump is very good at talking to the man in the street and making him feel he's on his side (similar to Farage being the politician you'd like to go for a pint with). Harris on the other hand had the likes of Oprah and Taylor Swift telling Trump voters to stay away from the evil fascist and come join them on the right side of history. They should have learnt from the way Brexit happened in that people were told they were stupid if they voted for it so they in turn told the remainers to kindly f**k off. Be interesting to see how the new Labour government copes with him given the rather outspoken views expressed towards Trump by our Foreign Secretary. Er, Trump had plenty of celebs as well, including the previously mentioned Musk. Ref Lammy, I've seen plenty of pro-Trump people saying the same as this while completely ignoring what Trump's own VP said much more recently.......
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Post by Boxer6 on Nov 8, 2024 9:50:42 GMT
I agree with PG on that point about the electorate being fed up with being lectured at. Trump is very good at talking to the man in the street and making him feel he's on his side (similar to Farage being the politician you'd like to go for a pint with). Harris on the other hand had the likes of Oprah and Taylor Swift telling Trump voters to stay away from the evil fascist and come join them on the right side of history. They should have learnt from the way Brexit happened in that people were told they were stupid if they voted for it so they in turn told the remainers to kindly f**k off. Be interesting to see how the new Labour government copes with him given the rather outspoken views expressed towards Trump by our Foreign Secretary. The ONLY reason I'd go for a pint with him would be to arrange a terrible "accident" at some point during the (hopefully brief) interaction!! And it's nothing to do with his politics, odious as I find them, but just because he's a c*nt of the highest order! (IMHO, of course).
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Post by alf on Nov 8, 2024 16:21:05 GMT
It is highly disappointing, but I'm going to try not to panic as much as some. I was astounded when he came back as favourite for the Republican nomination, since then this has looked increasingly likely.
Clearly, people think very differently - I've given up being surprised by election results. For me there is a certain threshold of character traits, honesty and morality needed for public office. Boris missed that level, I didn't vote for him. Trump misses it by a mile. He seems like a narcissistic idiot who can accept no wrong, plays fast and loose with the law, and has clearly sexually assaulted scores of women. The recording where he joked about groping women against their will that came out in the first campaign is inexcusable to me. Add to that the 26 separate current women filing complaints against him (and extrapolate the Fayed-like real numbers when many doubtless took their money quietly, or are too scared to raise it) and I simply cannot understand why more than a small minority of women would vote for him. His immigrant comments are not much better, but he got a decent chunk of the Latino vote too. And the Trump/Musk comments on Ukraine are again unacceptable to be on a basic human level, you would think the pro-gun/ex military crew in the Republican party would be against a communist bully, but apparently not.
What has become very clear, is that its hard to win an election when living standards are dropping. Macro economic data being less important to voters than the prices of common goods - even if some headline figures are OK, if food and rent/mortgages and fuel are way up, that's what matters. Also, people are happier voting for the promise of something, than they are heeding warnings about the dangers of change. Thirdly, unchecked immigration is worrying people a lot, and not just closet racists - the West cannot simply accept everyone who lives in a country without proper human rights, and needs to do more to promote this abroad.
That I get. What really depresses me about the modern world - and AI is about to make this a LOT worse - is the death of truth. Truly expert scientists, economists, and lifelong politicians of the least biased sort, are not considered any different to any random person ranting on YouTube. There was already a lot of disinformation out there, it was at a manageable level for a time until the likes of Trump saw the opportunity to jump on the "fake news" bandwagon to decry anything they didn't like. Now its a feeding frenzy and more and more people do not get their "information" from trusted sources.
Fake news has also been allied with attack politics. Politics used to be mostly about the policies and somewhat about the personalities, with a degree of respect on all sides. Now it seems a horrible place to be and I feel for MP's and politicians of all creeds and the genuine danger and constant harassment they all face. On this front I think US politics is hugely misogynistic. If you look at the level of misdemeanour/poor PR from Hilary or Kamala, it doesn't total a percent of the stuff Trump has done all his life. But it gets amplified out of all proportion in a quite disgusting way when it's aimed at a woman, in the US more so than in Europe.
So yes, buckle up. Its not all bad - the "CEO as president" thing is quite interesting, I think some of the "certainties" of western politics like "free trade = always good" are not necessarily fit for purpose now (though ironically the UK will be very hard hit if Trump carries out his stated tariffs - and we got sod all out of him under Boris so don't hold your breath for a deal under Labour). I don't see this as the end of US democracy, for historic reasons they will not stand for it (in the same way the Russians never had it enough to know what they lost). I like his hawkish stance on China - and (if kept under control) Iran, and though I despise his chumminess with Putin, nothing was given away last time. To deal with Russia - which is more our issue than the US's - Europe has to grow a pair, and has been tentatively doing so since the Ukraine invasion. I can't see it happening re: China (as Chinese goods are largely made with German machines) but re: Russia, Europe needs to be a LOT firmer. It's going to hurt. But (and Germany needs to note this more than anyone) a country with a strong leadership is harder to get away with poking, than one with a constitutional mess.
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MAGA...
Nov 8, 2024 17:46:09 GMT
via mobile
Post by Alex on Nov 8, 2024 17:46:09 GMT
I agree with PG on that point about the electorate being fed up with being lectured at. Trump is very good at talking to the man in the street and making him feel he's on his side (similar to Farage being the politician you'd like to go for a pint with). Harris on the other hand had the likes of Oprah and Taylor Swift telling Trump voters to stay away from the evil fascist and come join them on the right side of history. They should have learnt from the way Brexit happened in that people were told they were stupid if they voted for it so they in turn told the remainers to kindly f**k off. Be interesting to see how the new Labour government copes with him given the rather outspoken views expressed towards Trump by our Foreign Secretary. The ONLY reason I'd go for a pint with him would be to arrange a terrible "accident" at some point during the (hopefully brief) interaction!! And it's nothing to do with his politics, odious as I find them, but just because he's a c*nt of the highest order! (IMHO, of course). I wasnt referring to you specifically but certainly a lot of men in Clacton would buy him a pint (always assuming whether he finds the time to head back to his constituency of course!) And I know Trump had celebs too like Rogan and Musk but they're like him in that they talk to 'normal' Americans and I felt Harris's support was of the more patronising kind.
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Post by Tim on Nov 11, 2024 8:23:23 GMT
Definitely agree that Harris came across at patronising. Not sure Musk and Rogan speak to normal Americans though, unless normal Americans are waaaay down the conspiracy rabbit hole of course.
I'm hopeful that a Trump presidency won't be full of all the things he spoke about on the campaign trail but I think a lot of it is out of his hands due to the people behind him (and possibly moreso behind Vance).
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Post by Bob Sacamano v2.0 on Nov 11, 2024 11:58:57 GMT
The ONLY reason I'd go for a pint with him would be to arrange a terrible "accident" at some point during the (hopefully brief) interaction!! And it's nothing to do with his politics, odious as I find them, but just because he's a c*nt of the highest order! (IMHO, of course). I wasnt referring to you specifically but certainly a lot of men in Clacton would buy him a pint (always assuming whether he finds the time to head back to his constituency of course!) I'm no fan of Farage but I do find this extraordinary discussion of how long he is spending in Clacton a bit strange. I know of no other politician who has been subject to the same level of scrutiny - and I'd be interested to hear their responses if they were.
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Post by Tim on Nov 11, 2024 12:54:51 GMT
I wasnt referring to you specifically but certainly a lot of men in Clacton would buy him a pint (always assuming whether he finds the time to head back to his constituency of course!) I'm no fan of Farage but I do find this extraordinary discussion of how long he is spending in Clacton a bit strange. I know of no other politician who has been subject to the same level of scrutiny - and I'd be interested to hear their responses if they were. Isn't it because he basically hasn't been seen in his constituency since July 4th? I doubt many MPs are in their constituency a lot but from what little I've seen he's taking the piss.
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