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Post by michael on Nov 8, 2022 9:12:22 GMT
Since we can no longer rely on the dominance and wealth generated in the markets in London, post Brexit, we need to start making things in the UK again and sell them to other countries to help balance the trade deficit. However I fear that, as has been the case for the past 50+ years, there is little appetite to fund the creation of manufacturing in the UK and all our ideas will continue to get snapped up by foreign investors and be made elsewhere. Things like removing the bankers bonus cap and the higher rate might have helped London but that idea was hammered. Who’s going to manufacture here with energy prices so high? If this country is to stand a chance there needs to be unpopular decisions made and nobody dare do it. The reality is managed decline and we’re well down the road.
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Post by Roadrunner on Nov 8, 2022 9:55:41 GMT
The decision which needs to be made is to re-join the EU single market and to do it ASAP.
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Post by johnc on Nov 8, 2022 10:56:04 GMT
The decision which needs to be made is to re-join the EU single market and to do it ASAP. I agree but the Politicians will never want to be seen to be reversing part of the referendum vote although that part might be easier to sell now that people have seen the damage and additional costs brought by Brexit. What would it cost us though? I think we need a change of attitude in the UK. There seems to be a stalling of support for the BritVolt battery factory and I don't see anyone rushing to open a new chip making facility in the UK. Why not: these are the essentials to becoming self sufficient and being able to export. We probably also need more restrictions to prevent UK owned companies being purchased by foreigners in the same way that many other countries operate - we have been far too flexible and amenable to foreign takeovers with flimsy guarantees. We need to gain financial and military strength. Without the UK's military capabilities (diminishing with every budget cut) people like Putin might decide to try to take a much bigger chunk of Europe and the US may not be so willing to intervene if we are not able/prepared to help ourselves and we are 3,000 miles away. As Michael says we need to step up now or we will be in serious and potentially terminal decline.
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Post by PG on Nov 8, 2022 15:39:25 GMT
...As Michael says we need to step up now or we will be in serious and potentially terminal decline. Totally agree. Hard decisions need to be taken. The lack of support the British Volt (as an example) makes my blood boil. In a choice between a £100Bn train-set and some future technology, I know which I'd rather have. Managed decline is an awful thought. And so few people are prepared to accept that is what we will have (do have already) unless we change our approach. People expect a welfare state without the hard graft and tough decision making that requires.
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Post by Bob Sacamano v2.0 on Nov 8, 2022 16:44:28 GMT
...As Michael says we need to step up now or we will be in serious and potentially terminal decline. Totally agree. Hard decisions need to be taken. The lack of support the British Volt (as an example) makes my blood boil. In a choice between a £100Bn train-set and some future technology, I know which I'd rather have. Managed decline is an awful thought. And so few people are prepared to accept that is what we will have (do have already) unless we change our approach. People expect a welfare state without the hard graft and tough decision making that requires. I live in the area of the proposed British Volt factory and it will be a tremendous boost to Blyth Valley if it happens but it's a £4 Billion project and the Government is only supplying £100 million in seed capital. If the project is commercially viable and has really secured long term funding and customers then the Government should give them the money. At the moment I think they have only received letters of intent from prospective customers and no firm orders so there's a danger that the Government will throw good money after bad and I can understand them insisting certain criteria must be met.
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Post by Deleted on Nov 8, 2022 17:22:44 GMT
The factory would isolate us to an extent from any commercial failure around the world and as mining in Cronwall can supply the raw material, failing to grasp the nettle will seriously harm the nation. Worth the pain imho.
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Post by michael on Nov 8, 2022 18:19:04 GMT
The factory would isolate us to an extent from any commercial failure around the world and as mining in Cronwall can supply the raw material, failing to grasp the nettle will seriously harm the nation. Worth the pain imho. As if we’d open a mine!
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Post by Deleted on Nov 8, 2022 22:45:26 GMT
Re-open. Already been investigated to financial viability and found good to go. To break free of the orientals I think we bloody well should.
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Post by michael on Nov 9, 2022 0:16:54 GMT
Re-open. Already been investigated to financial viability and found good to go. To break free of the orientals I think we bloody well should. Agree with the theory but we won’t do it. Same reason it’s too stressful to open the cosl mine in Cumbria to support steel making or start fraking and getting the revenue from our own gas.
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Post by Deleted on Nov 9, 2022 1:01:12 GMT
I know what you mean, beggars belief that we have some viable options to contribute to cleaner running and are too afraid to use the option. Backbone is missing somewhere.
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Post by racingteatray on Nov 21, 2022 11:33:34 GMT
Apropos the climate change point, I studied this for my degree course (1995-9) and frankly we knew a quarter of a century ago what we know now, broadly speaking. It revolves around sustainable behaviour.
I just remember my tutor saying that it would never become a topic of serious debate until the money caught up.
And now the money has caught up. The point being that, whether voters or politicians like it, access to capital is starting to drive behaviour. And thus the business imperative is starting to align with positive action to mitigate the impact of climate change (which includes trying to reduce anything we do as a species that aggravated climate change).
People used to talk about a “greenium” (green premium) for doing capital raising in an ESG-compliant manner. Perhaps in some quarters, a degree of this exists but it is niche. Now, it’s much more a case of if your company historically was able to find itself at x% over treasuries, then if you want to continue to be able to fund at or close to that level, you need to put in place a sustainability (or similar) framework and show how you will adhere to that in terms of use of proceeds and KPIs, or else you risk your borrowing costs going up or potentially being shut out of the capital markets completely.
And sustainability in this context is not about saving the polar bear etc, it’s about is your company being sustainable in the face of climate change (howsoever caused). We spend hours talking to boards about the need to future-proof as part of their responsibility to shareholders.
This is driven in large part by the big pension funds and the like, who have to invest on a 30+ yr outlook - they are focussed on sustainability and climate resilience because they need to invest our pension funds on companies that will still be around and valuable when we retire.
That’s probably a hopelessly high-level summary but hope it helps. I could (and do) talk about this all day.
I find this a very positive development. Never mind the activists who glue themselves to the motorway gantries. The real activists with the real power to change are now where you perhaps least expect it, in the City and other centres of monetary power, and they are quietly but inexorably getting on with it. It can feel Sisyphean but there has been a sea change (if you’ll excuse the pun) in levels of engagement in finance and business in just the last 3-4 years. It is the global mega-trend in finance.
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Post by Big Blue on Nov 21, 2022 12:10:48 GMT
Indeed it’s very fiscal. I’m midway through hopefully introducing a new renewables client and the feedback I’m getting is as if I’d discovered an alternative to water!
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Post by michael on Nov 21, 2022 13:16:50 GMT
The real activists with the real power to change are now where you perhaps least expect it, in the City and other centres of monetary power, and they are quietly but inexorably getting on with it. Who could have imagined a world where the city and financiers were those with influence?!
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Post by racingteatray on Nov 21, 2022 18:37:05 GMT
My point is more than they are actually starting to wield that power in what I would see as a positive direction.
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Post by michael on Nov 21, 2022 18:53:33 GMT
My point is more than they are actually starting to wield that power in what I would see as a positive direction. I’d argue financiers primary responsibility is to make money as otherwise they’re failing their shareholders, investors and backers. Pursuit of money via the green agenda does not equal sustainability or good decision making. An example would be Drax power station, now running on biofuel and considered green energy under the insanity of green thinking. This green fuel, harvested from virgin forests in North America, dried, shipped thousands of miles across the Atlantic and then burnt at Drax has a higher carbon footprint than coal, is vastly more destructive to ecosystems, is worse for the balance of payments and is ultimately worse for the taxpayer and planet. It’s good business though. The case for the green agenda is these clown decisions are made because people dare not challenge them - you’d get called a denier, cancelled or accused of killing the planet. Like the NHS , this idiotic agenda is wrapped in a fuzzy blanket of woke that protects it of scrutiny. The most immoral aspect of the green agenda is that it’s usually government money so those financiers, who tend to be at the more affluent end of the spectrum, get rich at the expense of tax payers who are generally aren’t.
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Post by Bob Sacamano v2.0 on Nov 21, 2022 19:33:12 GMT
Without doubt the money has caught up, and we’re all paying the hefty price. It’s also no surprise the City sees this as another cash cow.
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Post by racingteatray on Nov 22, 2022 0:06:41 GMT
My point is more than they are actually starting to wield that power in what I would see as a positive direction. I’d argue financiers primary responsibility is to make money as otherwise they’re failing their shareholders, investors and backers. Pursuit of money via the green agenda does not equal sustainability or good decision making. An example would be Drax power station, now running on biofuel and considered green energy under the insanity of green thinking. This green fuel, harvested from virgin forests in North America, dried, shipped thousands of miles across the Atlantic and then burnt at Drax has a higher carbon footprint than coal, is vastly more destructive to ecosystems, is worse for the balance of payments and is ultimately worse for the taxpayer and planet. It’s good business though. The case for the green agenda is these clown decisions are made because people dare not challenge them - you’d get called a denier, cancelled or accused of killing the planet. Like the NHS , this idiotic agenda is wrapped in a fuzzy blanket of woke that protects it of scrutiny. The most immoral aspect of the green agenda is that it’s usually government money so those financiers, who tend to be at the more affluent end of the spectrum, get rich at the expense of tax payers who are generally aren’t. I think you are perhaps at risk of being blinded by your own prejudice whether or not you are prepared to admit it. Nobody thinks Drax’s business model is a shining example except perhaps Drax. And the issue here is sustainability, not impact investing. It’s worth looking up the difference. Plus the extremists are just that and to be treated accordingly. You wouldn’t accept assertions that the extreme right of the Tory party is representative of the whole party. Why not extend that same perspective to what you term “the green agenda”. Remember, I’m hardly some Greta-worshipping leftist hobgoblin. Just someone who understands the science behind climate change and is prepared to accept that some change is required without wholesale swallowing everything that is put forward. After all, I’m no fan of electric cars.
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Post by racingteatray on Nov 22, 2022 0:10:38 GMT
Without doubt the money has caught up, and we’re all paying the hefty price. It’s also no surprise the City sees this as another cash cow. How are we paying the hefty price? A company is required to put in place a sustainability framework under which they undertake to meet certain KPIs related to conducting their business in a more sustainable manner in order to access affordable capital. I don’t see how that is somehow capitalism run amok.
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Post by michael on Nov 22, 2022 7:36:51 GMT
Without doubt the money has caught up, and we’re all paying the hefty price. It’s also no surprise the City sees this as another cash cow. How are we paying the hefty price? A company is required to put in place a sustainability framework under which they undertake to meet certain KPIs related to conducting their business in a more sustainable manner in order to access affordable capital. I don’t see how that is somehow capitalism run amok. We’re paying a hefty price in carbon taxation, affordable transportation and soaring energy bills thanks in part to the enormous taxpayer subsidies for ventures like Drax (billions) and other biomass generators. The move to unreliable energy has resulted in higher dependency on gas which has resulted in household energy bills spiking for many. I’d be curious to hear an example you consider sustainable.
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Post by Bob Sacamano v2.0 on Nov 22, 2022 9:10:56 GMT
Without doubt the money has caught up, and we’re all paying the hefty price. It’s also no surprise the City sees this as another cash cow. How are we paying the hefty price? A company is required to put in place a sustainability framework under which they undertake to meet certain KPIs related to conducting their business in a more sustainable manner in order to access affordable capital. I don’t see how that is somehow capitalism run amok. That’s just businesses being held hostage by someone else’s arbitrary KPIs.
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Post by Tim on Nov 22, 2022 16:26:44 GMT
Ref Drax, if only we hadn't had some hideous leftist Government pursuing some "idiotic agenda that is wrapped in a fuzzy blanket of woke that protects it of scrutiny." for the last 12 years I'd imagine the majority of people would be happy to challenge this kind of stupid decision of they were given even a little bit of background info. I suspect that the most likely reason that doesn't happen is less down to woke than the fact that it's very good business for some people/organisations that have a lot of influence. If you had the contract for Drax I'm sure a few £000s spent wining, dining and donating to Government ministers would be money well spent. There's another of these stupid wood pellet burning facilities in Glenrothes. Supplied by an endless train of artics, its built on the site of a former papermill. The majority of the remainder of that site is now being turned into a massive housing estate that's downwind of said pellet burner. I expect there'll be some health related claims from residents in the future.
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Post by racingteatray on Nov 22, 2022 20:53:10 GMT
How are we paying the hefty price? A company is required to put in place a sustainability framework under which they undertake to meet certain KPIs related to conducting their business in a more sustainable manner in order to access affordable capital. I don’t see how that is somehow capitalism run amok. That’s just businesses being held hostage by someone else’s arbitrary KPIs. Not really. The company agrees on a set of appropriate KPIs with its advisors and then enshrines those as part of their sustainability framework. No company is required to do it but equally nobody is obliged to lend money to them either.
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Post by racingteatray on Nov 22, 2022 20:55:41 GMT
How are we paying the hefty price? A company is required to put in place a sustainability framework under which they undertake to meet certain KPIs related to conducting their business in a more sustainable manner in order to access affordable capital. I don’t see how that is somehow capitalism run amok. We’re paying a hefty price in carbon taxation, affordable transportation and soaring energy bills thanks in part to the enormous taxpayer subsidies for ventures like Drax (billions) and other biomass generators. The move to unreliable energy has resulted in higher dependency on gas which has resulted in household energy bills spiking for many. I’d be curious to hear an example you consider sustainable. You are looking at this in the wrong way. Sustainability is absolutely not simply about energy generation. Sustainability is something that every single business has to deal with, irrespective of their business line.
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Post by Big Blue on Nov 23, 2022 10:56:34 GMT
You are looking at this in the wrong way. Sustainability is absolutely not simply about energy generation. Sustainability is something that every single business has to deal with, irrespective of their business line. I think “sustainability” is a terribly misused concept. Environmental sustainability is about making the environment sustainable for human life, nothing to do with what nature or the planet wants. Rest assured when this billions-of-years-old rock in space wants rid of a dominant and destructive species it will get rid of it, even if takes some help from other celestial bodies like the sun, meteorites or whatever. That’s why there’s no dinosaurs running about - the discoveries of their remains aren’t there to aid mankind’s understanding of the formation of the planet and development, they’re a warning / reminder that at some point we’ll all be wiped out and there will be nothing we can do about it. Mankind’s arrogance regarding its power over nature never ceases to amaze me. In business terms it’s the same: sustainability is about maintaining the business’ position in a changing arena, whether that’s fiscal, societal or resource change.
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Post by michael on Nov 23, 2022 11:36:25 GMT
We’re paying a hefty price in carbon taxation, affordable transportation and soaring energy bills thanks in part to the enormous taxpayer subsidies for ventures like Drax (billions) and other biomass generators. The move to unreliable energy has resulted in higher dependency on gas which has resulted in household energy bills spiking for many. I’d be curious to hear an example you consider sustainable. You are looking at this in the wrong way. Sustainability is absolutely not simply about energy generation. Sustainability is something that every single business has to deal with, irrespective of their business line. Are you talking now about environmental sustainability or economic sustainability? You suggested the financial sector had taken a new interest in Green issues so the assumption was the environmental use of the term. Economic sustainability is nothing new.
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Post by michael on Nov 23, 2022 12:38:29 GMT
Ref Drax, if only we hadn't had some hideous leftist Government pursuing some "idiotic agenda that is wrapped in a fuzzy blanket of woke that protects it of scrutiny." for the last 12 years Quite.
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Post by PG on Nov 23, 2022 12:46:13 GMT
Companies having to sign up to environmental plans and setting grandiose targets reminds me of the BS5750 religion that was all the rage in the 1990's. The great public believed that BS5750 was a sign of quality products and services. No, it was a sign that the company could do processes and keep paperwork records. Whether your products actually worked or your services were top quality was not even on the radar. The old joke was that even Gerald Ratner could get BS5750 with the right paperwork. BS5750 became a "must have". Now everybody is getting the environmental religion certification or plan and these are the new "must have". Don't get me wrong, I think that damaging the environment is a bad thing, but when I go to Sainsbury and see big advertising about them going to be net zero by 2035 I just think "how? ". But if they had a placard that said "look this is complicated, we're not even sure what net zero really is, but we'll aim to minimise our damaging effect on the environment by 2035" they'd get pilloried in the press and by the green community.
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Post by Tim on Nov 23, 2022 14:56:49 GMT
Ref Drax, if only we hadn't had some hideous leftist Government pursuing some "idiotic agenda that is wrapped in a fuzzy blanket of woke that protects it of scrutiny." for the last 12 years Quite. Hmmmm. Remind me which governmental department Nick Clegg has been running since 2015? Pretty sure Cameron, et al could've steamrollered the LibDems into agreeing if they'd actually tried. On the subject of nuclear power I can remember it being a very small part of the geography syllabus (!) when I was at high school in the mid-80s and the apparent joy at how cheap an energy source it was. Not to mention that the UK were, if not leaders then certainly up there with everyone else. Now we're left effectively paying the R&D costs for nukes for some French state owned power company that can't actually even get the damned things to work
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Post by racingteatray on Nov 23, 2022 15:37:46 GMT
You are looking at this in the wrong way. Sustainability is absolutely not simply about energy generation. Sustainability is something that every single business has to deal with, irrespective of their business line. Are you talking now about environmental sustainability or economic sustainability? You suggested the financial sector had taken a new interest in Green issues so the assumption was the environmental use of the term. Economic sustainability is nothing new. The point is that economic sustainability of a business is becoming inextricably linked with environmental sustainability. And as Jeff says, this isn’t about rampant loony greenism. It’s actually about maintaining a planet that we find a pleasant place to inhabit. Not sure that many people ought to have an objection to that, if they sat down and properly thought it through.
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Post by woofwoof on Nov 23, 2022 16:21:29 GMT
Companies having to sign up to environmental plans and setting grandiose targets reminds me of the BS5750 religion that was all the rage in the 1990's. The great public believed that BS5750 was a sign of quality products and services. No, it was a sign that the company could do processes and keep paperwork records. Whether your products actually worked or your services were top quality was not even on the radar. The old joke was that even Gerald Ratner could get BS5750 with the right paperwork. BS5750 became a "must have". Now everybody is getting the environmental religion certification or plan and these are the new "must have". Don't get me wrong, I think that damaging the environment is a bad thing, but when I go to Sainsbury and see big advertising about them going to be net zero by 2035 I just think "how?". But if they had a placard that said "look this is complicated, we're not even sure what net zero really is, but we'll aim to minimise our damaging effect on the environment by 2035" they'd get pilloried in the press and by the green community. They'll pay a man in Brazil to send them a certificate stating that he's planted "x" trees. That'll make everything ok.
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