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Post by johnc on Jan 23, 2020 11:39:33 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Jan 23, 2020 11:48:01 GMT
Me either, no money expert but have they even made a profit yet? Broken even? HOW much does the musk get for that valuation? Toyota worth twice the amount but look at the profit they make.
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Post by Bob Sacamano v2.0 on Jan 23, 2020 11:49:53 GMT
I think people said the same about Amazon and Apple.
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Post by PetrolEd on Jan 23, 2020 11:52:27 GMT
I have no idea but Tesla are leaders in battery tech are so far ahead of the establishment in terms of charging. Their IP must be worth a fortune and they seem to have the facilities to develop and manufacture.
Whats more surprising is the establishment letting a disrupter get such a lead.
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Post by johnc on Jan 23, 2020 12:29:42 GMT
I have no idea but Tesla are leaders in battery tech are so far ahead of the establishment in terms of charging. Their IP must be worth a fortune and they seem to have the facilities to develop and manufacture. Whats more surprising is the establishment letting a disrupter get such a lead. I think that is where the value lies but they have a volume problem getting products to market. If they can overcome that, they will do very well.
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Post by clunes on Jan 23, 2020 12:52:22 GMT
It seems they are slowly but surely ironing out supplier challenges and increasing production volumes accordingly so things are improving. And, if my company is anything to go buy, company car schemes are starting to embrace electric far more than they have in recent past.
I've no idea if it would be cost effective for me (I have my own car and take a monthly car allowance) but the real world difference in BIK for someone in my position between a Tesla Model 3 (which is on my list) and a BMW 320d is over £10k in the Teslas favour (something like £2500 over 3 years instead of £12k)
The valuation does seem crazy though given the volumes shifted
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Post by Bob Sacamano v2.0 on Jan 23, 2020 13:05:37 GMT
They released their first car in 2008 (seems like yesterday) - but that was just the Roadster. Their first proper car was the Model 3 in 2012. Less than 8 years later they're selling 370,000 a year and are about to sell their millionth car. To me that is absolutely amazing.
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Post by johnc on Jan 23, 2020 13:30:41 GMT
It seems they are slowly but surely ironing out supplier challenges and increasing production volumes accordingly so things are improving. And, if my company is anything to go buy, company car schemes are starting to embrace electric far more than they have in recent past. I've no idea if it would be cost effective for me (I have my own car and take a monthly car allowance) but the real world difference in BIK for someone in my position between a Tesla Model 3 (which is on my list) and a BMW 320d is over £10k in the Teslas favour (something like £2500 over 3 years instead of £12k) The valuation does seem crazy though given the volumes shifted WEF 1st April 2020 an all electric car will cost you the square root of nothing at all in tax for 2 years at least. Now is the time to strike if you want one.
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Post by PG on Jan 24, 2020 13:30:42 GMT
I have no idea but Tesla are leaders in battery tech are so far ahead of the establishment in terms of charging. Their IP must be worth a fortune and they seem to have the facilities to develop and manufacture. Whats more surprising is the establishment letting a disrupter get such a lead. This is pretty much it. Even if they stopped making cars tomorrow, the value of the IP, battery tech and giga-factories, super-charger network etc is enormous. They've got such a lead as the established players simply cannot move at their speed because of their inbuilt processes and management structures plus enormous legacy investment in ICE and the factories that built those lines. Plus that most of the market still requires those ICE core products. So the main manufacturers are caught between a rock and a hard place. Big up electric and say it is the future - people won't buy your ICE cash generators. Not get into electric and see your fines for excess CO2 bankrupt you in Europe and cost you dear in newer markets that are going for electric much quicker - e.g China. There was a time in tech when everyone said that Blackberry would rule the world and that Apple just made interesting but a bit left field products for techies.
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Post by rodge on Jan 25, 2020 2:38:50 GMT
I was in their factory 2 weeks ago. They are building cars in a completely different way than other manufacturers and are putting huge investment into their production lines for all vehicles. Besides that, they are opening plants in China and I believe there are plans to open one in Germany too. It’s an impressive place and the aim is to go to a full lights out plant- no people involved in the build process on the floor. They’re getting there too. Funny thing is they are a very common car in California- think of how popular BMW’s and Audi’s are in the UK- that’s the level of popularity here. Go to the east coast of America and they’re as rare as hens teeth... I’m surprised at the valuation though. While they are profitable now, I can see them getting bigger in the coming years. They’re also planning to do all repairs at the factory. No more getting the specialist to quote repairs, the car gets delivered and then goes into a fully automated process, gets rebuilt to factory standards and is good to go. Big money earner for them there and also a great way of improving their vehicles.
Also slightly off topic, there’s a sub culture in California where people are building electric versions of old vehicles using Tesla components from scrapped vehicles. Didn’t think that was happening yet but there you are...
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Post by johnc on Jan 25, 2020 6:15:42 GMT
Insurance on a Tesla in the UK is a problem at the moment. A client who used to have a Tesla S was being quoted £2,000 a year because if they get bumped it can be 3 months before they can get the bits to put it back together again. However someone I know who has ordered a Tesla 3 has been quoted about £750 which although 50% more than his old Merc was not enough to put him off.
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Post by Tim on Jan 27, 2020 10:28:58 GMT
They’re also planning to do all repairs at the factory. No more getting the specialist to quote repairs, the car gets delivered and then goes into a fully automated process, gets rebuilt to factory standards and is good to go. Big money earner for them there and also a great way of improving their vehicles. I wonder how that's going to work across here then because insurance companies are ruthless at telling repair places how little they're now going to be paying per hour - in 2014 the agreed rates were about £5/hour less than they had been 10 years previously. Sending a car back to the factory to get rebuilt is going to scare the shit out of them.
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Post by PG on Jan 27, 2020 10:42:20 GMT
They’re also planning to do all repairs at the factory. No more getting the specialist to quote repairs, the car gets delivered and then goes into a fully automated process, gets rebuilt to factory standards and is good to go. Big money earner for them there and also a great way of improving their vehicles. I wonder how that's going to work across here then because insurance companies are ruthless at telling repair places how little they're now going to be paying per hour - in 2014 the agreed rates were about £5/hour less than they had been 10 years previously. Sending a car back to the factory to get rebuilt is going to scare the shit out of them. Maybe Tesla could offer their own insurance? Becoming a disruptor in another market that deserves to be shaken up.
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Post by Bob Sacamano v2.0 on Jan 27, 2020 10:47:52 GMT
I wonder how that's going to work across here then because insurance companies are ruthless at telling repair places how little they're now going to be paying per hour - in 2014 the agreed rates were about £5/hour less than they had been 10 years previously. Sending a car back to the factory to get rebuilt is going to scare the shit out of them. Maybe Tesla could offer their own insurance? Becoming a disruptor in another market that deserves to be shaken up. Well ahead of you: www.tesla.com/support/insurance?redirect=no
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Post by michael on Jan 27, 2020 11:38:41 GMT
I noticed that Teslas have to be reversed into their charging bays as the socket is at the rear and generally speaking a charging bay is only the size of a car. I assume this then means the end of caravanning? If so I'm now all for electric cars.
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Post by Bob Sacamano v2.0 on Jan 27, 2020 11:52:52 GMT
I noticed that Teslas have to be reversed into their charging bays as the socket is at the rear and generally speaking a charging bay is only the size of a car. I assume this then means the end of caravanning? If so I'm now all for electric cars. Would you not decouple the caravan and leave it parked, and while the car charged have a nice up of tea and a bacon buttie? In fact wouldn't the idea of having your own portable rest and recuperation vehicle that you can enjoy without having to mix with the undesirables in a service station, make caravanning more attractive for electric vehicle owners?
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Post by Martin on Jan 27, 2020 13:11:33 GMT
I noticed that Teslas have to be reversed into their charging bays as the socket is at the rear and generally speaking a charging bay is only the size of a car. I assume this then means the end of caravanning? If so I'm now all for electric cars. Would you not decouple the caravan and leave it parked, and while the car charged have a nice up of tea and a bacon buttie? In fact wouldn't the idea of having your own portable rest and recuperation vehicle that you can enjoy without having to mix with the undesirables in a service station, make caravanning more attractive for electric vehicle owners? I think you’ve almost hit on something there, not having to mix with the general public is a big plus, but the main downside is it would dramatically reduce your range.
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Post by Bob Sacamano v2.0 on Jan 27, 2020 13:22:53 GMT
Would you not decouple the caravan and leave it parked, and while the car charged have a nice up of tea and a bacon buttie? In fact wouldn't the idea of having your own portable rest and recuperation vehicle that you can enjoy without having to mix with the undesirables in a service station, make caravanning more attractive for electric vehicle owners? I think you’ve almost hit on something there, not having to mix with the general public is a big plus, but the main downside is it would dramatically reduce your range. With the Tesla caravan there is additional battery packs in the chassis to counteract this.
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Post by PG on Jan 28, 2020 13:26:41 GMT
With the amount of cash that Tesla have spent on their supercharger network, you'd have thought that they could easily have run to a Tesla only eatery and coffee station at each venue :-) No need to mix with the great ICE-rif-raff at all then.
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Post by racingteatray on Feb 4, 2020 16:04:09 GMT
Somebody sees the worth - the FT is reporting that the shares have shot past $900 in pre-market trading today "triggering fears of a bubble"...
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Post by Tim on Feb 4, 2020 16:12:13 GMT
Somebody sees the worth - the FT is reporting that the shares have shot past $900 in pre-market trading today "triggering fears of a bubble"... From a low of $216 in August. "Valued today at $161bn, Tesla now has a higher market capitalisation than GM, Ford, Fiat Chrysler, and Daimler combined."That is slightly ridiculous given that all the traditional manufacturers are working on additional electric vehicles to the ones that already have on the market.
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Post by Bob Sacamano v2.0 on Feb 4, 2020 16:32:50 GMT
Somebody sees the worth - the FT is reporting that the shares have shot past $900 in pre-market trading today "triggering fears of a bubble"... From a low of $216 in August. "Valued today at $161bn, Tesla now has a higher market capitalisation than GM, Ford, Fiat Chrysler, and Daimler combined."That is slightly ridiculous given that all the traditional manufacturers are working on additional electric vehicles to the ones that already have on the market. I think historic pension liabilities weigh heavily on the values of those companies.
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Post by PG on Feb 4, 2020 16:33:27 GMT
Somebody sees the worth - the FT is reporting that the shares have shot past $900 in pre-market trading today "triggering fears of a bubble"... From a low of $216 in August. "Valued today at $161bn, Tesla now has a higher market capitalisation than GM, Ford, Fiat Chrysler, and Daimler combined."That is slightly ridiculous given that all the traditional manufacturers are working on additional electric vehicles to the ones that already have on the market. Others may be producing BEV's, but nobody has the hype / great PR that goes with them as much as Tesla. As john said in the other thread in electric cars, a client has cancelled his Taycan order and has gone for a P100D as it has a much higher real world range and is a lot more low key than the Porsche. Plus of course he'll have access to the supercharger network.
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Post by Alex on Feb 8, 2020 9:08:33 GMT
From a low of $216 in August. "Valued today at $161bn, Tesla now has a higher market capitalisation than GM, Ford, Fiat Chrysler, and Daimler combined."That is slightly ridiculous given that all the traditional manufacturers are working on additional electric vehicles to the ones that already have on the market. I think historic pension liabilities weigh heavily on the values of those companies. Well that's due to their history of manufacturing cars almost by hand until the 1960s and 70s and a lot of workers from that time still plodding on into their 80s and 90s. Tesla wont have that problem as they're planning a dark factory that requires no lighting as the cars are 100% assembled by robots with a human hand not touching them until they reach the end of the assembly line.
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Post by Bob Sacamano v2.0 on Feb 8, 2020 14:31:44 GMT
I think historic pension liabilities weigh heavily on the values of those companies. Well that's due to their history of manufacturing cars almost by hand until the 1960s and 70s and a lot of workers from that time still plodding on into their 80s and 90s. Tesla wont have that problem as they're planning a dark factory that requires no lighting as the cars are 100% assembled by robots with a human hand not touching them until they reach the end of the assembly line. Exactly. GM’s pension liabilities alone are in the region of $100 billion. The same value as Tesla.
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Post by Bob Sacamano v2.0 on Feb 17, 2020 21:15:08 GMT
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Post by johnc on Feb 18, 2020 8:24:40 GMT
That's an interesting read, especially the social responsibility being shown by the non Tesla car makers who don't want to destroy their supply chain overnight: the big problem for all suppliers though, is it is coming one way or another.
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Post by PG on Feb 18, 2020 9:51:43 GMT
Agreed, very interesting article.
I think the "destroying the supply chain" is probably a nice way of saying "having to change their entire design and business model". If I read that article correctly, Tesla seem to have all their computing power in the car in one super-module, whereas the main OEM's spread the power amongst the many ECU's in their vehicles. And a large part of that is driven by the fact that different suppliers provide each sub assembly / parts array that therefore has its own ECU.
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Post by Deleted on Feb 18, 2020 11:52:13 GMT
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Post by Bob Sacamano v2.0 on Feb 18, 2020 16:10:17 GMT
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