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Post by PG on Jul 19, 2024 14:48:46 GMT
I read this article on Autocar and my disbelief became larger and larger. Volvo are going to launch the EX90 EV with missing software - like Apple Carplay, smart charging, and some safety features and cruise control features that were much touted by Volvo. £96k minimum for a car where the software is so flaky that they've got to leave bits out. Coming after the EX30 issues, it makes you wonder where Volvo recruited their software teams from. VW id3? Is all their stuff coded in China I wonder? Many software companies learnt the hard way that although Chinese programmers were cheaper, the bug and re-write rate was terrible, killing off a lot of the savings. And blowing quality out of the window. Would you put up £100k (with a few options) for a car that was not finished? So why do they expect people to spunk that on one with half built software. If you're going to put everything on a screen then the software needs to be right! www.autocar.co.uk/car-news/technology/volvo-ex90-may-be-missing-apple-carplay-smart-charging-and-more-launch
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Post by alf on Jul 19, 2024 16:39:06 GMT
I was at an industry event yesterday where someone referenced the VW EV platform behind the "ID" models (I think its their MEB platform having cost >£60bn to develop. That's 6 months of the totak UK NHS budget. 6 months of all the healthcare costs for 60 million ageing people, sunk into one platform........... It gives you some idea of the scale of the challenge the OEM's face.
And also why critical safety systems fail on many Chinese ones in accidents - I don't believe for one moment they are developed to European standards.
I worry when I see more genius plans from Jaguar about totally stopping production for a pause before new models come out. Didn't we hear that from TVR? And Lotus? I appreciate the scale and backing are very different but I really hope the new models come through in time, in good quality. Mind you they cost the thick end of £100k as well. Given the crappy residuals of EV's, how many people can afford that?
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Post by johnc on Jul 19, 2024 17:22:08 GMT
I don't understand how it can possibly cost £60Bn to develop the MEB platform unless of course they outsourced it to the management consultancy arms of the large accounting practices!!
Car manufacturers have been making all the electronic parts of cars work very effectively and reliably for many years now. The only real change is that the power source is a battery and electric motor and not an ICE and that in itself is hardly new technology. It does sound as though they have given the job of developing the systems to people who don't actually know what they are doing from a practical point of view - we see it all the time in HMRC's efforts to introduce technology. The software engineers are not given a sufficiently detailed spec to work to because those giving them the spec don't really understand how it all works themselves. They need proper automotive engineers to give guidance on what the end product needs to do and how it interacts with all the other bits of the car and its systems.
Volvo aren't going to sell many vehicles at that price especially if they don't work properly.
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Post by PG on Jul 21, 2024 14:10:31 GMT
...I worry when I see more genius plans from Jaguar about totally stopping production for a pause before new models come out. Didn't we hear that from TVR? And Lotus? I appreciate the scale and backing are very different but I really hope the new models come through in time, in good quality. Mind you they cost the thick end of £100k as well. Given the crappy residuals of EV's, how many people can afford that? I worry too that Jaguar will never get back on its feet. All that history and back catalogue flushed down the toilet. They said they were going to be £100k a few years ago. I reckon they could be even more than that at launch. And that's a very small market....
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Post by Alex on Jul 22, 2024 5:44:08 GMT
As Porsche are finding out from dwindling Taycan sales, it's also a rapidly shrinking market.
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Post by PetrolEd on Jul 22, 2024 9:01:26 GMT
They're Doomed, Doomed!
Having been to Goodwood a few weeks ago it is clear that Chinas focus is to take over the automotive landscape. LingWangs, Dongfengs, Hiphis will be the new normal before we know it.
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Post by Martin on Jul 22, 2024 9:07:57 GMT
As Porsche are finding out from dwindling Taycan sales, it's also a rapidly shrinking market. They are already discounting and offering better finance rates on the new and improved Taycan and there are more than 50 brand new / unregistered ones available on the website. JLR are going to really struggle with this strategy.
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Post by johnc on Jul 22, 2024 10:33:50 GMT
I have a client who purchased a used Taycan Turbo for just under £90K.
Having used it for 4 or 5 months he realised it wasn't for him and took it back to Porsche to trade it in against something like an ICE Macan. They offered him £43K as a trade in. Needless to say he still has it and just uses his wife's ICE car when he needs to go on longer trips.
With this kind of depreciation, Porsche will have no returning customers for EVs!
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Post by PetrolEd on Jul 22, 2024 11:11:15 GMT
TBF, the OG Taycan is a fabulous car just not a very good electric car. Handles great, goes like stink, looks good, 180 mile usable range. The new Taycan however does have a 300 mile usable range so should fixes the bugs of the original.
What Porsche or any premium manufacturer can't fix is the infrastructure and if you want charge on the go you have to leave your 100k plus gin palace and mix with the strange folk that like to inhabit the motorway service station.
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Post by alf on Jul 22, 2024 13:30:02 GMT
The funny thing is I was looking at Taycan prices recently, and they were not as low as I expected, not sure if they bounced back up a bit. But John's example is just insane - the guys buyts a used example already and they offer him less than half what he paid, 4 months later!!!!! And of course its not the % that hurts, its the total, the sums involved are mind boggling.
I actually really like the feeling of instant, linear, relentless acceleration from (powerful) EV. I'm a throttle response tart. The main issue of modern cars for is intrusive driving "aids" - anything that starts messing with the steering wheel in my hands, totally freaks me out, I'm not sure whether I'm sliding to my doom or having a mechanical failure (to my doom) but it gives me an instant anxiety spike. Advanced car control is about feeling the slightest things, all of a sudden the car is manufacturing feedback.
Weight is also a big one for EV. Driving the Alfa more in warm weather and actually on roads with sharp bends (I've done a lot of motorway haul in it) I can really feel its up on its toes and so much more eager to go/stop/steer than the 330e.
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Post by Martin on Jul 22, 2024 14:15:14 GMT
You can still turn off all the driver aids. In my car once off = always off and in the Tesla it’s the same but you get a constant warning message on the display which messes with my OCD, so I have it set to low and as long as you indicate to change lanes then it won’t intrude.
I wasn’t that impressed with an F series 330i, so I’m not surprised by what you say about the 330e which much weigh about 2 tonnes? It’s really not fair to compare it to the QF though!
The other big problem with the Taycan is interior space, it wasn’t even easy to get in/out of because the B pillar is a long way forward and I really struggled to fold myself into the back. It doesn’t feel quite as much like a quality item as the Panamera either.
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Post by alf on Jul 22, 2024 15:17:47 GMT
They're Doomed, Doomed! Having been to Goodwood a few weeks ago it is clear that Chinas focus is to take over the automotive landscape. LingWangs, Dongfengs, Hiphis will be the new normal before we know it. When you look at the scale of the auto industry, I'm sure this is indeed a major plan. Whether it actually impacts the West much is down to us, people moan about the UK "not having manufacturing any more" but in fact while UK brands died, manufacturing is still here, for other people's cars. I expect the rest of Europe will follow suit, with tariffs unless cars are made there, in which case most of the £ still goes into the local economy. Industry employment numbers may still suffer as electric cars are so much (mechanically) simpler to build and service. Then again nations like France excel at job creation/maintenance. Indeed Germany is similar, they love a form and a queue and a human operative checking things off............... It may make less difference than people think. I've generally criticsed the "oh no we don't make anything here any more" crowd as economically illiterate (nasty, unsafe, low paid and unpleasant manufacturing jobs in modern industry as per Chinese sweatshops not being something many of us generally aspire to do in the West). But I do accept from a security standpoint we need to make more defence, and tech, kit here - at least keep the capacity available. the Ukraine war has shown up issues in some very basic products like explosives, shells, and gun barrels, as well as the more obvious semiconductor issues that - given so many are made in Taiwan and China - kept some people awake at night before.
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Post by Martin on Jul 22, 2024 16:24:28 GMT
Back to the OP….i get the Lidar related stuff maybe being an issue and it’s better not to launch it until it’s right, but the rest is all pretty std stuff that surely can’t be that difficult. The thought of spending £100k on a Chinese SUV with a Volvo badge feels like madness anyway, but even more so when you get something that isn’t finished.
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Post by Bob Sacamano v2.0 on Jul 22, 2024 20:33:21 GMT
I don't understand how it can possibly cost £60Bn to develop the MEB platform unless of course they outsourced it to the management consultancy arms of the large accounting practices!! I suspect that is the cost for sourcing all the battery raw materials and outfitting 16 factories to build cars off the platform.
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Post by racingteatray on Jul 29, 2024 17:30:14 GMT
I don't get why it must have that thing on the roof that makes it look like a taxi. I couldn't have one for that alone.
When we were in Norway there were a few Nios (I had to google that to remind myself what they were called) kicking about that where sort of Audi A7-ish large hatches with the same silly taxi thing on the roof.
As for electric cars, I quite liked the driving experience of the Mercedes EQE that Sixt gave us in Germany recently (if not actually the car itself, which I though ugly outside and garish inside - Mrs RT loved it, so go figure...) and keep starting to think that maybe etc etc.
But I am not prepared to take a complete bath on residuals. Taycans look quite tempting but I can only (and safely it seems) assume that prices of early ones are only going to keep being clouted by the fact that there is a new one out that looks largely the same but has far more range. Sooner or later they'll be a bargain but that time is not yet. Porsche dealers actively take the proverbial with their trade-in values - they are at least £15k adrift of what they'd retail them for, which is I'm fairly sure not remotely the usual industry mark-up. Perhaps if you rocked up wanting to part-ex a nice sold-in-60-seconds Macan for a glued-to-the-forecourt Taycan , you might get a half-decent part-ex offer but otherwise I very much doubt it.
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Post by johnc on Jul 30, 2024 7:01:28 GMT
From what I am hearing the Taycans with the old battery are just not moving but the dealers are not discounting them much at the moment. My source says that many have been in stock for 6mths + and they were bought for a lot more than their real retail value now so at some point the dealers are going to have to take the pain and move them on before their values fall further. There is only so long that Porsche can try to control used car values. This history will probably make the PCP GFV much lower even on the new Taycan which is going to push the cost of ownership up further.
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Post by Tim on Jul 30, 2024 7:47:32 GMT
Are there any negative side effects from used battery cars being sat on a forecourt for 6 months? It can't be great for the battery even though they'll move the car occasionally. It won't be going through a proper charge/discharge cycle.
If I had to have a Taycan sized EV I'd go for the Audi version instead, on the rare occasions I see one on the road I think it looks much nicer from the outside.
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Post by chipbutty on Jul 30, 2024 8:58:09 GMT
At some point, Porsche (just like everyone else) will pull together some razor sharp lease and PCP deals for the crap they can't shift and they will just come back into the network at 3 years old as approved stock.
Battery packs have an optimum storage SoC - as long as someone is keeping an eye on it, should be fine.
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Post by Tim on Jul 30, 2024 9:54:30 GMT
Battery packs have an optimum storage SoC - as long as someone is keeping an eye on it, should be fine. So they'll be fucked then? Garage people won't be keeping an eye on these at all.
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Post by chipbutty on Jul 30, 2024 10:03:50 GMT
I would expect Porsche AG, the National Sales Companies and the respective OPCs to have the relevant policy and process to manage.
If they don't - then they may have some issues to deal with and spending money they don't need to.
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Post by Alex on Jul 30, 2024 19:06:06 GMT
Perhaps the lack of discounting at dealers is being driven by instructions from Porsche to try and stop values falling and affecting the GFV of new ones. Dealers who do discount them will probably be threatened with seeing their allocation of Macans and Cayennes being squeezed.
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Post by racingteatray on Jul 30, 2024 21:32:24 GMT
From what I am hearing the Taycans with the old battery are just not moving but the dealers are not discounting them much at the moment. My source says that many have been in stock for 6mths + and they were bought for a lot more than their real retail value now so at some point the dealers are going to have to take the pain and move them on before their values fall further. There is only so long that Porsche can try to control used car values. This history will probably make the PCP GFV much lower even on the new Taycan which is going to push the cost of ownership up further. For sure. I think the first time I spotted this was at least six months ago (I like the colour) and it was on at something like £95k (now £79k): finder.porsche.com/gb/en-GB/details/porsche-taycan-4s-my24-preowned-MQ7OPD?model=taycan&custom-exterior-color=true&order=price_ascI expect it was north of £120k new at the start of this year!!
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Post by Tim on Jul 31, 2024 7:44:24 GMT
Perhaps the lack of discounting at dealers is being driven by instructions from Porsche to try and stop values falling and affecting the GFV of new ones. Dealers who do discount them will probably be threatened with seeing their allocation of Macans and Cayennes being squeezed. Maybe but from John's comment about his client earlier in the thread the dealers are the ones driving the prices down with comedy trade-in offers.
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Post by chipbutty on Jul 31, 2024 8:54:39 GMT
They will manage the discounts through heavily subvented finance deals and then protect residuals by controlling the defleet of the returns post lease/pcp.
They then get a 2nd bite at the cherry by doing approved used deals - end of last year/early this year Audi were doing amazing deals on 2 year old e-tron SUVs (Free wall box, low deposit, £300 a month cheap).
Audi UK end up with a big bill, but it's rolled up under variable marketing expense.
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Post by PG on Jul 31, 2024 11:28:07 GMT
....Audi UK end up with a big bill, but it's rolled up under variable marketing expense. And that all works out fine just so long as volumes keep being moved. The ponzi scheme keeps working.
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Post by PetrolEd on Aug 1, 2024 9:06:46 GMT
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Post by johnc on Aug 1, 2024 9:51:06 GMT
No, it's £40K over 8 months! Even for a business that's too much. For any EV through a business, leasing is the only way to go.
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Post by racingteatray on Aug 1, 2024 14:47:40 GMT
No, it's £40K over 8 months! Even for a business that's too much. For any EV through a business, leasing is the only way to go. Exactly. Staggering depreciation - on par with a BMW M8 - another that depreciates at a truly spectacular rate.
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