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Post by Big Blue on Jun 5, 2023 17:12:46 GMT
www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/jun/03/electric-vehicles-early-adopter-petrol-car-ev-environment-rowan-atkinsonWhilst I am not an EV adopter this is about where I stand re: electric cars at the moment. Almost no other alternative is being pushed in the wider, non-enthusiast, arena and the “batteries is best” mantra seems to me to have been largely derived from what was most quickly available as an alternative to burning carbons with immediately available “technology”. I also kept the Gorilla for 5 years and Eva will make at least 4 and maybe even 5-6 so I agree with that element of the article too. He’s apparently had all manner of abuse from the “only my opinion on the best environmental way forward is correct” fraternity but I’m sure he doesn’t give a fuck about them as he chugs up smoke in one of his ageing Land Rovers.
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Post by Deleted on Jun 5, 2023 19:32:10 GMT
They cannot shut everyone up.
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Post by Alex on Jun 6, 2023 3:43:29 GMT
Agree that a lot of what he says is correct especially regarding building less new cars and making fewer journeys, especially when there are alternatives such as the train for going city to city (I'm in Liverpool and Leeds this week and have left the car on the drive and used the train instead to avoid Monday morning on the M25 and M6 and its not a decision I'm regretting!).
The only trouble with the build less cars idea is that the car companies will struggle even more than they do to make profit so will be less inclined to invest in greener technologies and prices will soar with the result that even more drivers will be sticking to their petrol powered cars.
If we insist on staying on the road to replacing all ICE cars with battery powered ones we need to move away from the race for ever more range and ever bigger batteries. I still think that we need to come up with a universal battery that can be easily removed like a AA battery but for cars. That way you don't need it to be big just available and charged so it can be quickly swapped in and out at a filling station. If people still want range you could always build in additional slots to larger family cars so you can fit more batteries on the occasions you need to drive further but just have one the rest of the time. Or you just have different levels of charge for different prices at the forecourt so you might pay £5 for just a 20 mile pack or £50 for a 300 mile pack. You could even have higher voltage batteries for sports cars that provide more power but less range (sort of like super unleaded petrol). These batteries could all sit underground in what used to be the petrol and diesel tanks and could be charged by solar panels on the lovely big flat roof that sits over the forecourt and so reduce the current reliance on fossil fuels for electricity to charge them.
That makes much more sense than the current model of having fixed batteries which need charging overnight or from increasingly higher wattage charging stations and also does away with the problem of EVs sitting static for ages whilst someone else sits for even longer waiting for them to finish so they can then plug in for an hour. The increased downtime this causes is a major factor in many long distance drivers not willing to switch away from ICE just yet.
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Post by michael on Jun 6, 2023 11:40:58 GMT
The whole green agenda is about managed decline, doing less and fewer opportunities. The futures dark. Electric cars sum this up. Less good than internal combustion by a range of measures including CO2 given we make most of our electricity by burning gas.
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Post by alf on Jun 7, 2023 16:56:15 GMT
The whole green agenda is about managed decline, doing less and fewer opportunities. The futures dark. Electric cars sum this up. Less good than internal combustion by a range of measures including CO2 given we make most of our electricity by burning gas. We need to challenge this. Some people's green agenda is about basically taking us back to the stone age, and I agree that is totally contrary to progress, freedom, and our rights. Hence this approach needs fighting whenever it pops up! Big business is not supportive of it, and governments need economic progreess to generate taxes for them to waste (sorry I mean spend wisely!). So the unwashed moaners will not necessarily win. Jordan Peterson is a good place to start for learning how to intelligently challenge the hairy yoofs who claim to know better than the rest of us...
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Post by PG on Jun 7, 2023 21:24:03 GMT
I think Atkinson was right in what he said. Electric cars are interesting at a certain level, but with so many open questions and issues around them - weight; efficiency; manufacturing efficiency; electricity generation; charging infrastructure etc - those in power's leap to "this is the technology we are going with" is yet another of those over-simplified; over-hyped; decide in haste and repent in leisure (although we'll never admit it) decisions that governments and the civil service seem so good at inflicting on us. Did anyone mention diesel cars?
This quote from the comments section below the article pretty much sums up what the watermelon eco-people believe: "Individuated motorised transport is incompatible with environmental sustainability. Doesn’t matter how you fuel it, the sheer quantity of material required to supply that demand is environmentally destructive."
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Post by Tim on Jun 8, 2023 8:14:37 GMT
...... how to intelligently challenge the hairy yoofs who claim to know better than the rest of us... Yet the vast majority of BEV drivers I see are of retirement age
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Post by Roadrunner on Jun 8, 2023 9:37:29 GMT
...... how to intelligently challenge the hairy yoofs who claim to know better than the rest of us... Yet the vast majority of BEV drivers I see are of retirement age They are the ones with all the time in the world to stop and re-charge. Someone at work has recently got an electric MG and it takes him all day to drive from Cumbria, where he lives, to our sites in Kent or Somerset. Most people of working ago wouldn't put up with that.
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Post by Big Blue on Jun 8, 2023 10:40:42 GMT
The charging-journey time effect and overall convenience factors are not widely discussed when BEVs are being discussed. This is because it's heresy to debunk BEVs because environmental considerations override every other argument apparently (see the back lash to Rowan Atkinson's piece in yesterday and today's media). The big push for BEVs comes from some very specific groups that don't understand that convenience effect because it doesn't affect them.
1. Young commentators that live in urban areas with great transport links and / or cycling distance between home and work. They don't care for travel outside of their comfort zone and likely seldom see any family member that lives a great distance away. It is also likely this group does not own a personal motor vehicle, not just because of any environmental reason (although they will vehemently tell you that is the reason) but because their mortgage / rent and bills consumes such a vast chunk of their total income that they cannot afford to buy and run one.
2. Older commentators that want to be seen to be considerate of the coming generations' lives. They, as suggested above, don't care about the travel time as their lives are not as rushed as others.
3. Well-off social grade A,B,Cs who can simply afford them and appear pious, despite flying abroad on foreign holidays to locations with huge food waste, permanent air con and electricity produced by burning tyres, or some such. (I include myself in that group)
The problem bites in several places and life phases. Group 2 will stop driving as much, almost never, but refuse to dispose of their car because they think it's the last bastion of independence. This leads to their homes being a harbour for destabilised power packs that could cause huge environmental damage if they corrode or even explode / combust.
Group 3 will become group 2. See last paragraph.
Group 1 is an interesting prospect. We can't assume that all group 1s will do well enough to become group 3. So when they procreate and need more space they need to move out of their urban bubble when they suddenly find that walking the kids to school across a dual carriageway and 2 miles through darkened lanes in the winter isn't viable. They need a car so that's fine: it can be an electric one. But that assumes they have charging availability at a decent rate (because public points are not as cheap as your domestic rate and often not as cheap as an ICE car. Then they need to do the stuff families do: camping, holidays, National Trust, seaside, lakes, theme parks etc. Their kids want to know "when will we get there" (I know this phrase very well!) and them asking it whilst you're sitting in a queue for a charging point is not really helpful. UK family visits are not as prevalent as other nations (we're a miserable bunch by and large) but consider visits to retired parents that have sold the family house (possibly to help fund that house out of the Urban bubble for their offspring)... and retired somewhere pleasantly quiet and affordable - which means it won't be near the Group 1's new house that needs to be near schools, travel connections etc. A visit to those parents as they age and, unfortunately, ail is suddenly a chore of charging at either end, mid trip etc. This is exacerbated in many European countries where my experience is that older parents move out of family city residences to make way for the next generation on the proviso that the offspring come to them often (like 2 weekends in 4 or more).
The issue of charging and electricity production can raise its head also. The electricity generators can sell all the electricity they can produce without needing to supply the BEV market (yes, I know there is over capacity at night but then BEV owners won't all have access to a charging point at night) so there is literally NO incentive for them to invest in providing a huge infrastructure that would make BEV ownership and use less fraught with range-anxiety. The shareholders would not see the benefit of such investment in the term of their investment and see only reduced dividends and increased leveraged borrowing. So they would block it. Hence the infrastructure for BEV use on long journeys is stymied and like mankind always does, some alternative will arise that retains the convenience of personal vehicle journeys as is currently available. For many journeys BEVs are better than ICE but then Betamax was a better format than VHS. Then along came DVDs.
Basically what I'm saying is that the convenience of personal transportation has been with us since the '50s when an automotive industry was created and the attempts to de-convenience it will never wash with the public at large. I could argue, for instance, that we could make savings on steel production if we banned sliced bread as there would be no need for the blades. Who imagines that the public at large would accept a world without sliced bread? even though the bread is the same and can fulfil the requirement of bread intake. That is what the BEV fraternity is proposing to car users. They can do what a car does and has done for over a century* but with less convenience. It's one step away (as Michael suggests) from having the masses reduced to serfdom and not being able to move between towns, cities, countries at any time ever as was the case in the times before the industrial revolution.
*in reality we should only talk about mass car ownership in Europe from the '50s and possibly even only back to the 1964 HP Act in the UK for new car ownership at scale.
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Post by PG on Jun 8, 2023 12:23:42 GMT
Good points there. There are huge sectors of the eco movement who would like to un-invent the car if they could. As they can't, they'll just make it harder and harder for the masses to afford or use cars, however they are powered.
Cars have been one a driving force in one of the huge leaps forward in society. Like the printing press gave people access to knowledge that was deemed "dangerous", the car have given freedom of movement, that means they cannot be told where to go and not go. This also pisses off the far-left who feel that only society (i.e.them) can tell us that.
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Post by franki68 on Jun 8, 2023 14:05:30 GMT
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Post by Big Blue on Jun 8, 2023 14:26:29 GMT
Yes. Click bait to get both sides of the argument onto their platform. I think the fact checking elements about the energy used to mine rare elements being recovered in a short time frame need to be looked at vs modern ICE technology as opposed to that even 5-6 years ago.
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Post by chipbutty on Jun 8, 2023 14:40:01 GMT
Most criticism is focused on the " debunked " Volvo study - yet Volvo would have had absolutely zero reason to use incorrect assumptions or data in that study as they are " nuts deep " in the drive for electrification and Polar bear snuggling. Assumptions can and do get revised, but the Volvo study clearly highlighted two key elements that I don't think have changed much:
1) Production of BEV produces far more C02 than standard ICE
2) Once built, your EV is only as green as the electricity you charge it with.
The debunking from man in job that is " completely dependent on climate change not being a truck full of fairy horsehit " doesn't mention any useful facts for rebuttal - example, he states the Volvo study was debunked, but by whom, on what rationale and assumption set and by how much ? Fuck knows.
Such articles are quickly filed under " no detail - assume bollocks "
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Post by alf on Jun 8, 2023 17:07:11 GMT
In my (commercial vehicle) work space, Volvo are still quoting 100k km driven before a BEV truck recoups the CO2 expended when making the battery. They quoted it on an electric truck presentation I was on recently. As chip says, they are fully committed to BEV, so I don't see this as "debunked" at all.
Also be aware that half the particulate emissions of vehicles is from tyres/brakes, so some of the green brigade are indeed not happy even with EV's... I'm acutely aware of this since the company I work for is owned by a massive tyre company...
BB's post above is interesting to me from a work perspective, because the commercial fleets we provide Telematics and other tech to, absolutely do need to keep running - and EV changes their world to an extent I don't think they have fully realised, the planning effort needed will be vast....
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Post by Deleted on Jun 8, 2023 20:14:08 GMT
Cleaner fuels should be an adjunct to other methods, as should the move to alternative materials like corn husk for tyres etc. Lots of options but we ain't using 'em.
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Post by franki68 on Jun 9, 2023 10:45:33 GMT
Most criticism is focused on the " debunked " Volvo study - yet Volvo would have had absolutely zero reason to use incorrect assumptions or data in that study as they are " nuts deep " in the drive for electrification and Polar bear snuggling. Assumptions can and do get revised, but the Volvo study clearly highlighted two key elements that I don't think have changed much: 1) Production of BEV produces far more C02 than standard ICE 2) Once built, your EV is only as green as the electricity you charge it with. The debunking from man in job that is " completely dependent on climate change not being a truck full of fairy horsehit " doesn't mention any useful facts for rebuttal - example, he states the Volvo study was debunked, but by whom, on what rationale and assumption set and by how much ? Fuck knows. Such articles are quickly filed under " no detail - assume bollocks " I lose interest interest in anything written that uses the word debunked as usually it just references someone’s opinion .
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Post by Martin on Jun 9, 2023 10:55:03 GMT
We bought a business last year which included a large commercial vehicle dealership within the group. I went to visit them a few weeks ago and we were talking about electric trucks (the artic or semi if you're American) and they shared the detail of one that is in limited production now. It's from a company called 'Nikola' (as Tesla is taken!). It has a range of c330 miles, which isn't bad I guess for something that weighs that much, but isn't enough for a vehicle of that type. With the right infrastructure it was charge in 90mins, so it's getting closer to usable I guess.
The biggest problem is the cost, which is somewhere north of £600k. I pay £100-120k for the equivalent diesel, which has a good residual after 3-4 years. You'd really have to want to make an ESG point to spend that much.
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Post by Tim on Jun 9, 2023 11:18:33 GMT
How much does the electric truck weigh and what's the payload compared to diesel?
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Post by Martin on Jun 9, 2023 11:28:11 GMT
How much does the electric truck weigh and what's the payload compared to diesel? I think the max total weight was 35-36 tonnes and the weight of the unit was greater (something like 12-13t vs 8-9t), so less capacity than a diesel
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Post by alf on Jun 9, 2023 11:47:40 GMT
I find it strange how little focus aviation gets for example their fuel taxes are very low compared to road transport. There were some interesting articles I read recently about how few people actually fly internationally each year (4% of the global population) and how aviation has few answers to climate change. One debating point was that you could totally stop aviation, and not much would change for the vast majority. Deliveries would be slower.... Big ships can use sails for part of their power as well, there is a lot that can be done which just needs investment, not necessrily being a hassle.
One of those articles said that one long-haul flight a year was similar in emissions to running an ICE vehicle for a year! Even short haul (by jet) is pretty bad.
I'm sure I am one of many people that does feel conflicted. I love travel, I'm at an age where I can afford to, as children grow up I hope to even more. I hate waste, and I'm careful with things like heating the house (which is more CO2 output than driving for most), lighting, and so on. I'm happy to eat less beef, which creates a lot of emissions. But........ I won't be giving up travel (almost all short haul and driving to Europe). Or nice cars. Or all meat and fish.
On the other hand I only had one child (I would have had 2, but not more) and I do try to buy fewer, often more expensive, things that last (e.g. Merino wool sports clothing) rather than endless plastic tat. I walk and cycle a lot for short trips. I pay a lot of taxes, many of which are allegedly levied on me for emissions, yet not spent on reducing them!
It's very complicated and I would hope science wins out, and we do not have to return to the Stone Age...
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Post by Roadrunner on Jun 9, 2023 12:37:54 GMT
It is a conflict I am aware of especially as I am thinking a out a long-haul trip next year. I am tight with the gas and electricity at home as much from a cost point of view as a green one and we always buy locally produced, sustainable food where possible.
Don't fall into the trap that eating beef is bad for the planet, BTW. Grass reared British beef actually benefits the environment and is worlds apart from grain-fed US and Australian feed-lot beef. There are fewer ruminants on the planet than probably ever before, so the whole 'beef is now ruining the planet' message falls at the first hurdle and is clearly a message favoured by those with vested interests elsewhere.
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Post by Deleted on Jun 9, 2023 12:54:11 GMT
Which is the biggest problem as I see it. Interest groups pushing their message and sod the planet. Until it becomes about fixing the problem than making more money for interest groups we are farked.
I have cut energy and water usage as we have been asked to do but if the SIG are going to rape the program and get in the way of real progress nothing will be done.
As far as landfill etc goes, we have good recycling here, people will still put plastic etc in the general landfill bins and generally do not give a rats about doing more than pay lip service so, whyu should I bother? I still will but many more will not.
Solutions on a plastic post card to Rishi @ too busy to answer dot gov dot snoopy.
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Post by Martin on Jun 9, 2023 12:55:06 GMT
Lindsay has picked up the responsibility for the sustainable procurement team and was 'told off' for eating an Avocado earlier this week by one of them..... Like ALF, I buy fewer more expensive things that last, but being honest, I don't think about it anywhere near as much as I should. Any savings come from being sensible (eg turning the heating down) rather than a drive to reduce C02. Travel is the top of my list of things to do and I particularly love the Far East, it would be very difficult to give up long haul travel. We were deep in the early stages of the house extension at the time of year we'd normally go, so haven't had a big trip this year, which is something I guess, although we will have had quite a few short haul flights by the end of the year.
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Post by Roadrunner on Jun 9, 2023 13:30:16 GMT
I think the point about better quality, longer-lasting vs. cheap tat is important, but it goes against the constantconsumerism message we hear everywhere. I know people at work who still think it is acceptable to wear clothes once and then throw them away, yet they have noticed that I tend to wear classic, good quality clothes which they will see time and time again over the coming months and years. My hi-fi system is over 30 years old but still kicks ass and is more than capable of disturbing the neighbourhood. Producers and importers of cheap Chinese tat will not want to hear this.
I do believe the whole 'throw away your ICE engine car and buy a BEV' message is very much out of the same consumerism mould. I expect my Benz to last good many years yet so I shall not be jumping on that bandwagon.
While saying this I am aware that I am fortunate enough to buy the decent stuff in the first place and many people are in Vimes' cheap boots vs. expensive boots trap.
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Post by Tim on Jun 9, 2023 13:47:48 GMT
I'm another who would rather buy something expensive once. Having said that I do own rather a lot of, for example, t-shirts but many of them are well over 10 years old despite being worn fairly regularly.
I'm astounded at some of the things I see from normally sane, sensible people though. For example when did the nonsense/stupidity that is Christmas jersey day start? I know at my work those who take part (the majority it seems) rarely want to wear the same jersey twice. It's something that would be so easy to not do.
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Post by Big Blue on Jun 9, 2023 14:25:53 GMT
I find it strange how little focus aviation gets for example their fuel taxes are very low compared to road transport. There were some interesting articles I read recently about how few people actually fly internationally each year (4% of the global population) and how aviation has few answers to climate change. One debating point was that you could totally stop aviation, and not much would change for the vast majority. One of those articles said that one long-haul flight a year was similar in emissions to running an ICE vehicle for a year! Even short haul (by jet) is pretty bad. Here's the data sheet from BEIS/Defra Firstly note that the car figure is 4-up in a diesel, meaning my family trips into London in a PHEV are far more efficient than domestic rail. Re, the air travel bit. - Short haul (1,000kms is most of Europe from London in great circles travel) so double it for a return and you get 266kg of CO2 emissions (ignoring the high altitude non-CO2 emissions because we're measuring CO2)
- Long haul (say 12,000km round trip) and you get 1.224T of CO2
- 6,000 miles of car use as single occupant and you get 1.02T of CO2.
However distance comparisons for driving across Europe 1-up. Say its 30% more as cars can't do great circles and the short haul flight equivalent by car is 445kg of CO2. Remember that that is a diesel car. Then factor in that a family holiday by car would seldom be 1-up and see just how efficient even a diesel car is in CO2 terms compared to a short haul flight.
Other things to note from this data are: how full was the plane?; how full was the bus? (looking at this chart they should be pulled from the roads immediately, something I've advocated for decades); and just how SHIT is domestic rail in CO2 terms?
Long live ICE. Whatever we end up burning in the cylinders. The greatest leisure (getting you there), working (travel and merchandise), industrial (job creation) and pleasure (smell, sound, racing) invention - the pinnacle of mankind's progress if you will.
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Post by chipbutty on Jun 9, 2023 15:03:53 GMT
We bought a business last year which included a large commercial vehicle dealership within the group. I went to visit them a few weeks ago and we were talking about electric trucks (the artic or semi if you're American) and they shared the detail of one that is in limited production now. It's from a company called 'Nikola' (as Tesla is taken!). It has a range of c330 miles, which isn't bad I guess for something that weighs that much, but isn't enough for a vehicle of that type. With the right infrastructure it was charge in 90mins, so it's getting closer to usable I guess. The biggest problem is the cost, which is somewhere north of £600k. I pay £100-120k for the equivalent diesel, which has a good residual after 3-4 years. You'd really have to want to make an ESG point to spend that much. I read a road test of the latest Scania EV artic - if memory serves it has a 450kw/h battery pack (or 5 I-Pace packs if you will). Assuming the Nikola has a similar sized pack, then that 90 minute charge must require the 350kw per hour charging. Do we even have those today in the UK ? Imagine have 20 of those suckers running at full tilt - christ how thick would the cabling be to feed the charging hub.
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Post by Martin on Jun 9, 2023 15:08:24 GMT
We bought a business last year which included a large commercial vehicle dealership within the group. I went to visit them a few weeks ago and we were talking about electric trucks (the artic or semi if you're American) and they shared the detail of one that is in limited production now. It's from a company called 'Nikola' (as Tesla is taken!). It has a range of c330 miles, which isn't bad I guess for something that weighs that much, but isn't enough for a vehicle of that type. With the right infrastructure it was charge in 90mins, so it's getting closer to usable I guess. The biggest problem is the cost, which is somewhere north of £600k. I pay £100-120k for the equivalent diesel, which has a good residual after 3-4 years. You'd really have to want to make an ESG point to spend that much. I read a road test of the latest Scania EV artic - if memory serves it has a 450kw/h battery pack (or 5 I-Pace packs if you will). Assuming the Nikola has a similar sized pack, then that 90 minute charge must require the 350kw per hour charging. Do we even have those today in the UK ? Imagine have 20 of those suckers running at full tilt - christ how thick would the cabling be to feed the charging hub. A quick Google says we have 14 in the UK. It's not just that, what about the power requirement in the warehouse yard. We're looking at some warehouse automation at the moment and because the building is partly chilled/frozen, there isn't enough spare capacity in the local area without us spending a significant sum contributing to upgrading the substation. Then there is the number of chargers you would need and the parking space.
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Post by Big Blue on Jun 9, 2023 16:42:20 GMT
Every time I point out in various forums that cities like London and Paris will never be able to cope with charging requirements of replacing all their traffic I get abuse and told : the capacity is there....
It may well be "there" but "there" is a power station 250km away feeding the city through a cabled network with ever diminishing cable cross section areas as it is delivered to the end point. Lots of people don't understand electricity and think it's like Jack's magic beans and can suddenly deliver 60A through a 13A appliance cable without catching fire. (60A is the largest single phase allowed). As Martin points put, the costs and work associated with providing large scale charging nationwide is UNBELIVEABLE and as I said earlier, there's absolutely zero incentive for the electricity producers to spend that money as they can sell all they can make as it is.
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Post by Deleted on Jun 9, 2023 17:42:31 GMT
London and other big cities have been social engineering for decades, slowly removing parking spaces. It has already been decided that residents of big cities will have to make do with public transport or cycling/walking. If there are fewer cars operated/owned by a few of the annointed ones, less need for charging points.
Common folk will just have to put up with what our betters decide because there will be no other option.
It seems the collective is alive and well.
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