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Post by Roadsterstu on Oct 8, 2021 18:04:04 GMT
Or that you have plenty of jumpers and some slippers.
Is it just the media ramping up the panic again or are we genuinely going to either have insufficient gas available or have to pay hugely more expensive gas and electicity prices in the coming 1 to 2 years. Or both?
As a casual observer, if seems to me that we have become over reliant on plentiful supply and the promise of as much green energy as we can use, in the process of which we've steadily reduced our own storage capacity. Add in what appears to be a very short termist planning strategy and a government who appear to see this as an ideal opportunity to push their green policies as strongly as possible.
One thing is for sure, the big energy companies' profits probably won't plummet over the next year or two.
What are your thoughts?
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Post by LandieMark on Oct 8, 2021 18:12:49 GMT
I'm on oil. Its about 50ppl at the moment. I last paid 30ppl. I need to check the tank and put an order in.
I pay about £110 a month for electric.
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Post by Roadsterstu on Oct 8, 2021 18:17:49 GMT
My parents are on LPG but also have a log burner. Just normal mains gas and electricity for us. I'd be tempted to buy a log burner but I reckon they are going to face a clampdown fairly soon as they've become increasingly popular (and likely to become more so!)
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Post by michael on Oct 8, 2021 18:18:26 GMT
This is net zero in action.
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Post by Roadsterstu on Oct 8, 2021 18:19:03 GMT
This is net zero in action. It certainly fits the agenda.
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Post by LandieMark on Oct 8, 2021 18:41:36 GMT
My parents are on LPG but also have a log burner. Just normal mains gas and electricity for us. I'd be tempted to buy a log burner but I reckon they are going to face a clampdown fairly soon as they've become increasingly popular (and likely to become more so!) Our multifuel, as well as heating the living room, also sends heat to the thermal store supplying the hot water and radiators. We keep it going 24/7 from about November to April and use 2 bags of ovoids a week doing so at £16 per 50kg bag. Sounds expensive, but the oil consumption drops to almost nil. I've done a calculation and there is little in it either way.
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Post by Big Blue on Oct 8, 2021 19:15:50 GMT
Apparently all the electricity supplied to our house is from non-fossil fuels (so wind, water, nuclear or gerbils-in-wheels). Our gas does our heating and water but the thermostat is still deciding whether it needs to fire up the boiler or not at the moment.
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Post by PG on Oct 8, 2021 19:37:45 GMT
This is net zero in action. Energy is going to be more expensive from non-fossil sources. So that is true. But also it is a conjunction of two factors. Net zero is one, the other is that it was assumed that plentiful natural gas (ours or the Russians), backed up by LNG imports as a safety net would give plentiful "cheap" power to make the transition to green power. And oil prices have been benign for several years. Let's leave aside if that transition to green power is even required / a good idea or not for now. But Europe has been a net importer of energy ever since coal stopped being the only power you needed - electricity, town gas, domestic heating, coke for industry, all from coal. And that makes us vulnerable. Our last huge shock was the 1970's - the 1973 oil crisis after the Yom Kipper War and then the 1979 oil shock after the Iranian revolution. In the 1973 crisis the price of oil increased 300% from $3 to $12 per barrel. Petrol ration coupons were issued in the UK, but never used as we limped through. Another energy shock was always going to happen at some point. Like all things though, we forget our history at our peril and so successive governments have chipped away at spending money on power and fuel reserves, better self sufficiency or resilience. And in that time since the 1970's more of the world has developed and so the hunger for energy has risen hugely. For imported LNG, we're in competition with Asia so prices are rising as supplies are not sufficient. Oil prices are creeping up again. So, to get to the point, yes we are all going to have to pay more. And that will make us use less, as the oil shocks did in Europe at least in the 1970's. But the oil shocks also caused huge economic recessions that blighted the whole decade. I hope that does not happen again.
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Post by michael on Oct 8, 2021 20:33:45 GMT
The energy regulator have denied exploration of a new gas field in uk territorial waters and we sit on enough shale to supply us with gas for decades. It doesn’t have to be this way. Hopefully the Rolls Royce small nuclear reactors can be rolled out PDQ.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Oct 8, 2021 21:25:36 GMT
Any nuclear plant will require new infrastructure which will also push up prices.
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Post by michael on Oct 8, 2021 21:44:50 GMT
Any nuclear plant will require new infrastructure which will also push up prices. The Rolls Royce SMR isn’t any nuclear power plant. It’s more cost effective by design.
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Post by Roadsterstu on Oct 8, 2021 21:51:47 GMT
Apparently all the electricity supplied to our house is from non-fossil fuels (so wind, water, nuclear or gerbils-in-wheels). Our gas does our heating and water but the thermostat is still deciding whether it needs to fire up the boiler or not at the moment. Apparently all of our electricity is, too. As is all of the electricity that is supplied by those suppliers that I hear or see advertised on radio or TV. So, if all of this electricity is coming from renewable sources, we must have absolutely loads of it? And just how do those electrons separate themselves from the fossil fuel powered electrons to travel down the cable to my house?
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Post by Boxer6 on Oct 8, 2021 22:11:37 GMT
Apparently all the electricity supplied to our house is from non-fossil fuels (so wind, water, nuclear or gerbils-in-wheels). Our gas does our heating and water but the thermostat is still deciding whether it needs to fire up the boiler or not at the moment. Apparently all of our electricity is, too. As is all of the electricity that is supplied by those suppliers that I hear or see advertised on radio or TV. So, if all of this electricity is coming from renewable sources, we must have absolutely loads of it? And just how do those electrons separate themselves from the fossil fuel powered electrons to travel down the cable to my house? Magic, innit?
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Post by PG on Oct 9, 2021 6:30:39 GMT
Apparently all the electricity supplied to our house is from non-fossil fuels (so wind, water, nuclear or gerbils-in-wheels). Our gas does our heating and water but the thermostat is still deciding whether it needs to fire up the boiler or not at the moment. Apparently all of our electricity is, too. As is all of the electricity that is supplied by those suppliers that I hear or see advertised on radio or TV. So, if all of this electricity is coming from renewable sources, we must have absolutely loads of it? And just how do those electrons separate themselves from the fossil fuel powered electrons to travel down the cable to my house? The companies clearly watched The Producers and thought "there's a plan!". They probably sell every unit of renewable power 100's of times over and hope nobody notices. They tell the electrons apart as they are all colour coded. Each supply company has it's own special paint code, just like for scaffolding. Simples!
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Post by Bob Sacamano v2.0 on Oct 9, 2021 6:47:41 GMT
Fortunately I did a low 2 year dual fuel fix with EDF in Feb so I’m paying £138 a month for gas and electric for the next 18 months.
I’ll have knitted myself a whole new wardrobe by then.
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Post by Roadsterstu on Oct 9, 2021 7:52:25 GMT
Our gas and electicity bill was 90 a month and built up about 330 quid I credit over the summer, so they've just dropped the direct debit to 30 quid a month. That won't last long! I'll be phoning them and upping it.
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Post by Roadsterstu on Oct 9, 2021 7:54:47 GMT
Our gas and electicity bill was 90 a month and built up about 330 quid I credit over the summer, so they've just dropped the direct debit to 30 quid a month. That won't last long! I'll be phoning them and upping it. I'll add that this amazes me. Our loft insulation (on the to do list but a shitty job) is poor and the boiler is old and I'm sure the radiators are half sludged up. As for the leccy, ever single light bulb is LED so I guess that helps.
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Post by Alex on Oct 9, 2021 17:43:53 GMT
I'm with Shell Energy but that was only because they were the cheapest when I switched in Feb. My tariff is fixed until end Feb 22 but I know I won't get anywhere near that sort of deal again. Hopefully the first few months of next month won't see our house having a teacher delivering her lessons from home needing heating all day! Fortunately our 5 year old house is so well insulated we've not yet even thought about turning the heating on. The digital thermostat in our bedroom still reads 22 degrees. I'm sat in a T Shirt as I write this.
I do think that this is the price our country has to pay for not being self sufficient. We could go down the fracking route but there's no political appetite for that especially as many of the areas we'd need to start doing it are bricks in the red wall. So that means we need to look at how we manage the storage of gas and stop relying on imports of LNG which are at the mercy of China paying the tankers extra to head to them instead. The long and short of it is that global gas prices are very unlikely to go down to where they were pre covid.
In an ideal world this should be what starts us thinking of greener ways to heat our homes. The reality is that most green solutions such as ground source heat pumps are expensive to install and run and solar for HW isn't going to do much during winter. Increased gas prices will see wood burners become ever more popular but they are polluting and there's evidence of some areas of London where they are particularly popular seeing a return of smog so I'm sure they will also be outlawed at some time.
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Post by LandieMark on Oct 9, 2021 17:53:16 GMT
It has been warm today, but it's cooling down now. Coal man dropped off the first couple of bags the other day. I've lit the fire to take the chill off.
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Post by humphreythepug on Oct 10, 2021 7:25:03 GMT
I was fortunate that our British Gas dual fuel contract was up at the end of August, did a bit of shopping about, Avro came up the cheapest but I was wary as I'd not heard of them so went for EDF (that was a close one!) at only a few £ more than Avro.
Locked in with EDF for 2.5 years at a combined £97 per month which was only a tenner more than I was paying BG, then the whole gas and electric crisis hit.
Yesterday after listening to LBC on my dog walk, they were talking about gas and electric again so I decided to just see what I'd get offered now for dual fuel, well many comparisons sites just wouldn't quote me some came back with random suppliers that I'd never heard of at circa £150 per month, all with poor reviews, British Gas were coming back with £193 per month (more than double what I was originally paying), EDF were quoting £160 per month.
It's seems I signed up for a new contract at exactly the right time, for a decent length and with a supplier that are extremely unlikely to be going bust, any time soon.
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Post by Alex on Oct 10, 2021 11:00:41 GMT
There is some irony in this thread being on the same page as a thread where members of this forum have suggested we use water cannon, expanding foam or cable ties as we enact retribution against a protest group demanding the government provide UK homes with better insulation. I like to consider you lot as reasonably moderate in your views which would perhaps suggest that there are many other comments sections or private Facebook groups littered with people suggesting much more imaginative and painful ways of punishing those who blocked the M25.
But what this really points to is the simple fact that in this country we don't really know what we want. Well that's not true we do, we want to be able to be kept warm as cheaply as possible without any changes to how we've been doing that for the last 50 years. The problem is we can't have that. Gas isn't going to get cheaper and our housing stock is just too inefficient. Couple this to our electricity producing infrastructure being in desperate need of an overhaul and too reliant on foreign imports and we have a big problem on our hands.
The current government have been in power for 11 years and in that time they have cut incentives for homes to be more environmentally friendly. Grants for insulation have been stripped back, grants for solar panels taken away and the feed in tariff scrapped, grants for electric cars have been reduced. The same government also crows on about the UK being carbon net zero by 2050. But we could get there even sooner with more radical changes. My house was built 5 years ago and was fitted with solar panels. My leccy bill is £20/m because we take so little from the grid. If every new build since my home was built had also been fitted with solar we would be generating so much more electricity in this country that we'd be a lot less reliable on foreign imports. Installing panels adds about 5k to the cost of building a house but given that the average house price in the UK is rising by that much or more each month those buying the properties would barely notice so why not make it law? It won't solve all our problems but if your leccy bill is as low as mine you suddenly become a lot less concerned about how much gas is increasing in cost so it is a start at lease. But there is more that needs to be done. The principle of using storage heating is a sound one but we need it to be better at doing the job we need it to but it could be a good option. Use solar to power them during the day and release the heat slowly through the night. Not saying its the answer but it could be a consideration. Ultimately though we need to stop our homes leaking so much heat.
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Post by Bob Sacamano v2.0 on Oct 10, 2021 14:04:24 GMT
It’s always the government has to do everything for everyone. No one can insulate their own loft with cheap insulation. No one can seal up gaps in their window frames and instal cheap secondary glazing. No one can install LED bulbs, service their boiler, set their thermostat correctly. If it’s not Boris coming round and doing it for them they’re not happy.
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Post by ChrisM on Oct 10, 2021 15:11:35 GMT
Perish the thought of Boris coming round and servicing my boiler, I'm sure I could do a better job than him... which reminds me, where is the water manometer I inherited from my late father?
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Post by Andy C on Oct 10, 2021 15:17:11 GMT
Our gas and electicity bill was 90 a month and built up about 330 quid I credit over the summer, so they've just dropped the direct debit to 30 quid a month. That won't last long! I'll be phoning them and upping it. I'll add that this amazes me. Our loft insulation (on the to do list but a shitty job) is poor and the boiler is old and I'm sure the radiators are half sludged up. As for the leccy, ever single light bulb is LED so I guess that helps. This stuff is much better than the old glass wool stuff
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Post by johnc on Oct 11, 2021 8:23:00 GMT
I had a conversation with a friend about 15 years ago where we concluded that it was mad that new housebuilders were not forced to fit solar panels or solar tiles to all new houses. It was common sense but no Government did anything about it which says a lot for Politicians in general.
I was very annoyed when I heard at the weekend that there would be no new gas boilers fitted after 2025 and spares and repairs for existing gas boilers would end by the early 2030's. This is a bit like Government policy on the culling of ICE vehicles - there is no leadership and no direction in how this is to be achieved and what the viable alternatives are. I often say to my Manager don't complain about something unless you can also give me what you believe is a solution. From what I can see there are no solutions being suggested.
The use of electric central heating is way too expensive - last winter we had a hot water immerser switched on without my knowledge for about 6 months despite the water being heated by the gas central heating. I got a bill for around £600 extra for an immerser that wasn't working hard at all. If I extrapolate that to an electric system having to provide all our heat and light, I would be paying between £5K and £6K a year!
So what are house owners to do? Our next door neighbours had a massive amount of work done to their house last year to insulate it, including a new roof with Kingspan about a foot thick, triple glazing, wall insulation, solar panels, a battery pack and an air source heat pump. That lot cost well into 6 figures and is way out of the reach of 99% of UK households. However even with all that money, they still needed to use their back up boiler last winter when the temperature was below freezing for a couple of days and they still have to pay for electricity although it is only £40 or £50 a month.
As you move further North in the country air source heat pumps become less and less viable and once the temperature is at or near freezing for more than a couple of days they effectively stop working. Ground source heat pumps still work if the coils are buried deep enough but they are considerably more expensive. Wood and coal burners are being legislated out of existence, so exactly how is the vast majority of the population going to heat itself especially in the northern half of the UK?
The Government needs to set proper standards (which would ban the crap solar installations) and then it needs to provide real direction for affordable and deliverable alternatives. The alternative will be a winter death rate in 20 years time which will make Covid appear like an irrelevance. Remember that pre WW2 the average life expectancy was in the 60's and a common cause of death was breathing difficulties brought on by the cold and damp. With a 10 to 15 year window to change every house in the UK, the Government had better get their finger out and quickly.
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Post by garry on Oct 11, 2021 9:14:12 GMT
I’ve done lots to make our house energy efficient. Mostly because it seemed sensible as we replaced stuff (although my teenagers were very vocal with their environmental concerns) but I was also aware that living in a very old big house (it’s a 200 year old barn and circa 5000 sq ft) was going to be increasingly expensive and it might be wise to future proof as much as I could. Ground source heat pumps work well, but are very expensive to install, require a garden that you’re happy to trash and have a pay back period that runs into decades (although I guess this is dropping!). They’re also not really mass market, in that your local heating engineer has no knowledge of them (at least didn’t in my area circa 15 months ago) .
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Post by Tim on Oct 11, 2021 10:25:41 GMT
We considered buying a house that had a load of renewables - wind turbine, solar panels, ground source heat pump - but I was rather concerned about the reliability of these, given that I know the house and the wind turbine was at least 10 years old. The pipework for the heat pump didn't look all that new either. In fact the routine service costs for the wind turbine were quite expensive.
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Post by Bob Sacamano v2.0 on Oct 11, 2021 10:26:28 GMT
I think I've seen ground source heat pumps where the pipes are buried as a vertical coil, instead of a large horizontal grid. That would make installation easier and less destructive.
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Post by michael on Oct 11, 2021 10:38:45 GMT
I think I've seen ground source heat pumps where the pipes are buried as a vertical coil, instead of a large horizontal grid. That would make installation easier and less destructive. You need to bring in specialist drilling equipment to drill the well after a geological survey. It cost £20k when we looked at it and the heat intensity was so low it still requires backup.
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Post by PG on Oct 11, 2021 11:46:21 GMT
I’ve done lots to make our house energy efficient. Mostly because it seemed sensible as we replaced stuff (although my teenagers were very vocal with their environmental concerns) but I was also aware that living in a very old big house (it’s a 200 year old barn and circa 5000 sq ft) was going to be increasingly expensive and it might be wise to future proof as much as I could. Ground source heat pumps work well, but are very expensive to install, require a garden that you’re happy to trash and have a pay back period that runs into decades (although I guess this is dropping!). They’re also not really mass market, in that your local heating engineer has no knowledge of them (at least didn’t in my area circa 15 months ago) . Pretty much where we are. We live in a house that is part 300 year old converted barn and part converted Victorian stable building. It was converted 30 years ago, so short of rebuilding it again from scratch, once we'd put in upgraded double glazed windows, a new oil fired boiler, newer radiators, LED lighting, insulated underlays for wooden and carpeted areas, oh and bought more clothes, pretty much anything else is hugely structural. And it is listed, so that makes it even worse. In the winter we have oil fired heating and a wood burner going. I'd seriously like to look at solar on our roof area as one side of the house faces SSW so would be ideal. Mrs PG does not like solar panels on roofs as "they are ugly", plus I'm not sure how much extra weight over slates our roof could take. Which means it would have to be the newer and of course more expensive built in ones where they replace the roof slates. Great to do on a new build, but basically having your roof rebuilt on an older house. I dread to think what that would cost.
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